Morning Oil report

Brent crude rose 60 cents or 1.5% to $41.13 whilst WTI was up 68 cents or 1.8% to $38.96. Both contracts rose over 2% on Tuesday.

 

The market sentiment around crude remains bearish given announcements from BP regarding oil demand and how that may have peaked in 2019, on top of the news that OPEC have revised demand figures downwards as Chinese demand cools off. The drop off in demand was expected by the organization, but the rate of decline was not. COVID-19 continues to depress the oil market with recovery being halted dues to borders still shut and air travel operating at a fraction of its normal levels.

 

Hurricane Sally made landfall on Tuesday which caused havoc within the Gulf of Mexico with some estimates stating that output may be reduced by 3 million to 6 million barrels over the next 11 days. The heavy rains that are due in the region are also expected to dampen demand as many of the Gulf’s ports close due to rough seas. This is expected to reduce stockpiles, albeit only slightly which is much needed in the current environment of supply gluts, yet according to the API, supplies are falling with a reported 9.5 million barrel draw last week, with gasoline inventories on the increase by around 3.8 million barrels last week.

 

Iran have showed support for OPEC this week but on the condition that it protects its interests according to Iran’s OPEC governor. The countries OPEC output has halved from levels of 7.5% in 2010 but remains certain that it is in the best interests of the nation. This comes just days before the next OPEC meeting in which it is likely that new quotas will be issued for its members in order to act to stabilize prices.

 

MARKETS NEWS:

* BP Lifts Veil of Secrecy on Big Oil Trading Profits

* India’s Slumping Oil Imports Ominous for Crude’s Recovery:

Chart

* Vitol Sees Global Oil Stockpiles Shrinking Rapidly: APPEC

Update

* Hurricane Sally Creeps Toward Gulf Coast With Flash-Flood

Threat

* Poseidon Crude at Lowest Since July Amid CHOPS Pipeline Outage

* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpiles Fell 9.52M Bbl Last Week

* Midwest Gasoline Distant From Storm Climbs to 11-Month High

* North Dakota Oil Production Rose to 1,040,388 B/D in July:

State

* MEXICO TANKER TRACKER: Aug. Loadings Rose 14% Y/Y to 1.35M B/D

* U.S. Gulf Shuts in 497,072 B/D or 26.9% Oil Production: BSEE

* Petrobras Resumes Oil Trading W/ Vitol, Trafigura, Glencore:

Rtrs

* Shale Driller Lonestar Plans Bankruptcy as Part of

Restructuring

* Premier Oil Is in Early Talks on Deal With Chrysaor

 

OTHER NEWS:

* Bankers Feeding Norway’s Oil Industry Respond to ‘Massive

Shift’

* Trans Mountain “Prepared” for Protesters as Work Moves Into

B.C.

* China’s Paper WTO Win Doesn’t Dissuade Trump From Trade War

* Shanghai Plans to Have 10,000 Hydrogen Cars on Road by 2023

* Ships Running on LNG to More Than Double by 2030: Petronas

 

PHYSICAL CRUDE NEWS:

* ASIA: Iraq Gives Full Supply to 5; China’s Oil Demand

* LATAM: Caribbean Storage Outlook; Venezuela Crude Output

* US/CANADA: Poseidon at Lowest Since July on CHOPS Outage

* NSEA: Litasco Offers Brent Lower; Mercuria Bids Two Grades

* MED: Tenergy Sells Siberian Light; Urals 5-Day Program

* WAF: Sonangol Sells 3 Cargoes; IOC Seeks Dec. Sweet Crude

 

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:

* U.S.: Sally Still a Threat; Gasoline Inventory Up

* EUROPE: Floating Storage; IEA Cuts Demand Forecast

* ASIA: Chinese Demand Bigger; India’s Diesel Pain

 

Singapore 380 INDIC

Oct20    242.50   /             244.50

Nov20   242.25   /              244.25

Dec20    243.25   /             245.25

Jan21     245.25   /             247.25

Feb21    247.50   /             249.50

Mar21   249.75   /             251.75

Q4-20    242.50   /             244.50

Q1-21    247.50   /             249.50

Q2-21    253.50   /             255.50

Q3-21    257.75   /             260.75

CAL21    254.75   /             257.75

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC

Oct20    229.00   /             231.00

Nov20   227.75   /             229.75

Dec20    227.50   /             229.50

Jan21     229.50   /             231.50

Feb21    231.50   /             233.50

Mar21   233.50   /             235.50

Q4-20    228.00   /             230.00

Q1-21    231.50   /             233.50

Q2-21    237.00   /             239.00

Q3-21    240.25   /             243.25

CAL21    237.75   /             240.75

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC

Oct20    307.25   /              312.25

Nov20   307.75   /              312.75

Dec20    308.75   /              313.75

Jan21     310.25   /              315.25

Feb21    311.75   /              316.75

Mar21   313.50   /              318.50

Q4-20    308.00   /              313.00

Q1-21    312.00   /              317.00

Q2-21    316.50   /              322.50

Q3-21    321.75   /              327.75

CAL21    319.00   /              325.00

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC

Oct20    280.25   /              285.25

Nov20   281.75   /              286.75

Dec20    283.75   /              288.75

Jan21     286.75   /              291.75

Feb21    290.00   /              295.00

Mar21   293.00   /              298.00

Q4-20    282.00   /              287.00

Q1-21    290.00   /              295.00

Q2-21    297.75   /              303.75

Q3-21    304.00   /              310.00

CAL21    300.00   /              306.00

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC

Oct20    44.27     /              44.41

Nov20   44.75     /              44.95

Dec20    45.26     /              45.46

Jan21     45.78     /              45.98

Feb21    46.31     /              46.51

Mar21   46.86     /              47.06

Q4-20    44.75     /              44.95

Q1-21    46.32     /              46.52

Q2-21    47.88     /              48.08

Q3-21    49.38     /              49.58

CAL21    48.38     /              48.78

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC

Oct20    330.11   /              332.11

Nov20   336.03   /              338.03

Dec20    340.95   /              342.95

Jan21     346.51   /              348.51

Feb21    351.79   /              353.79

Mar21   355.65   /              357.65

Q4-20    335.70   /              337.70

Q1-21    351.31   /              353.31

Q2-21    362.14   /              364.14

Q3-21    374.39   /              376.39

CAL21    367.10   /              369.10

 

Rott Hi5          Sing Hi5

Oct20    53           66

Nov20   56           67

Dec20    58           67

Jan21     59           67

Feb21    60           66

Mar21   61           65

Q4-20    56           67

Q1-21    60           66

Q2-21    63           65

Q3-21    65           65

CAL21    64           66

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