Morning Oil Report

Brent crude was up 17 cents at $42.11 a barrel by 0346 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 16 cents to $40.47.

 

A quiet Thursday lead to the steadying of oil after last week’s investor draws counteracted by a stronger dollar and renewed COVID-19 cases that caused the further border closures and restrictions.

 

The Chinese port city of Zhoushan has seen an increase in demand for bunkers as a result of its competitive pricing which is due to lure large vessels to the port that are making their journeys to and from Northeast Asia for cost efficiency. Since February 1st, tax rebates on low sulphur marine fuels have allowed for refineries in china to increase production, pushing down prices against key benchmarks of the same fuel class in Singapore. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Reports from Iraq state the oil ministry there has forced to deny reports that they have struck a deal with OPEC that would see their quotas being increased. Local newspapers reported that the agreement would be announced soon with 97% of the nation’s revenues deriving from oil finance. OPEC+ has been reducing production since January 2017 in a bid to support prices are reduce global stockpiles, especially pertinent during today’s market condition. (Reuters)

 

In the UK, oil production fell 3% on the year in July to 1.03 million bpd and was 4% lower over the first 7 months. Figures showed that the UK exported more crude and gas that in imported for a fourth month in a row in July, yet exports only exceeded imports by 4%. (S&P Global Platts)

 

China’s oil demand growth is set to fall over the next 5 years as a result of a slowing economy and a turn towards alternative fuels as it is set to become carbon neutral by 2060. Chinese economic growth may recover from 3% this year to 5% in the period of 2021-2025 but this would still be down on the 6.1% seen in 2019. (Argus Media)

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* IEA Signals Oil Demand Caution on Renewed Virus Curbs
* China Crude Stockpiles Edge Higher Toward Record Capacity:
Ursa
* Shell Plans to Divest Oil Drilling Rights off North Alaska
Coast
* China’s August Imports of U.S. Crude Drops From Record:
Customs
* Houston Gasoline Reaches 3-Week High as Traders Seek Winter
Fuel
* EUROPE-AMERICAS FUEL: Flows Drop to 4-Month Low as Bookings
Fail
* ARA Jet Fuel Stocks Drop as Cargo Moves to Floating Storage:
IG

OTHER NEWS:
* Singapore Oil Trader Hontop’s Bank Debts Close to Being
Settled
* BP Drops to 25-Year Low a Week After Unveiling Climate
Strategy
* Robeco Plans to Exclude Fossil-Fuel Stocks From All Its Funds
* Exxon’s Fabled Dividend Under Threat With Yield Above 10%:
Chart

PHYSICAL CRUDE NEWS:

* ASIA: Japan’s Oil Buying Spree; Libya to Restart Exports
* LATAM: Mexico Energy Reform At Stake; Petrobras Refineries
* US/CANADA: WTI Houston Futures to Accept Delivery on Ships
* NSEA: Litasco Offers Forties Lower; Petroineos Bids Again
* MED: Total Sells CPC at Lower Price; Hellenic Buys Urals
* WAF: Escravos Loadings to Gain in November; Kole Boost

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: Marathon Catlettsburg PlansMulti-Unit Work
* EUROPE: Lower Pull From Americas; Total Grandpuits
* ASIA: Light Distillates Stockpiles Plunge by Record

ECONOMIC DATA/EVENTS: (Times are London.)
* 6:00pm: Baker Hughes weekly rig count report
* 6:30pm: ICE Commitments of Traders report
* 8:30pm: CFTC Commitments of Traders report
* China 3rd batch of August trade data, including country
breakdowns for energy and commodities
** See OIL WEEKLY AGENDA for this week’s events

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:
* China’s State Refiners to Trim October Fuel Exports 3% M/m:
JLC
* Refiner PBF Among Most Exposed to California Gas Car Ban:
Cowen
* StanChart Says U.S. Oil Output to Slump, Citi More Optimistic

OTHER FINANCIAL MARKETS:
* Stocks Rise With Futures; China’s Yuan Ticks Up: Markets Wrap

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Oct20    240.00   /             242.00

Nov20   241.00   /              243.00

Dec20    242.75   /             244.75

Jan21     245.00   /             247.00

Feb21    247.00   /             249.00

Mar21   249.00   /             251.00

Q4-20    241.25   /             243.25

Q1-21    247.00   /             249.00

Q2-21    252.50   /             254.50

Q3-21    257.25   /             260.25

CAL21    254.00   /             257.00

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Oct20    227.50   /             229.50

Nov20   228.00   /             230.00

Dec20    228.75   /             230.75

Jan21     230.75   /             232.75

Feb21    232.75   /             234.75

Mar21   234.75   /             236.75

Q4-20    228.25   /             230.25

Q1-21    232.75   /             234.75

Q2-21    238.50   /             240.50

Q3-21    241.50   /             244.50

CAL21    238.25   /             241.25

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Oct20    307.25   /              312.25

Nov20   307.50   /              312.50

Dec20    307.75   /              312.75

Jan21     309.00   /              314.00

Feb21    310.25   /              315.25

Mar21   311.50   /              316.50

Q4-20    307.50   /              312.50

Q1-21    310.25   /              315.25

Q2-21    314.00   /              320.00

Q3-21    318.50   /              324.50

CAL21    316.50   /              322.50

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Oct20    288.25   /              293.25

Nov20   288.75   /              293.75

Dec20    289.50   /              294.50

Jan21     291.50   /              296.50

Feb21    293.25   /              298.25

Mar21   295.00   /              300.00

Q4-20    289.00   /              294.00

Q1-21    293.25   /              298.25

Q2-21    297.50   /              303.50

Q3-21    301.00   /              307.00

CAL21    299.00   /              305.00

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Oct20    43.97     /              44.11

Nov20   44.51     /              44.71

Dec20    45.05     /              45.25

Jan21     45.57     /              45.77

Feb21    46.12     /              46.32

Mar21   46.68     /              46.88

Q4-20    44.50     /              44.70

Q1-21    46.12     /              46.32

Q2-21    47.62     /              47.82

Q3-21    49.06     /              49.26

CAL21    48.09     /              48.49

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC                               

Oct20    327.84   /              329.84

Nov20   333.38   /              335.38

Dec20    338.45   /              340.45

Jan21     343.84   /              345.84

Feb21    348.86   /              350.86

Mar21   352.65   /              354.65

Q4-20    333.20   /              335.20

Q1-21    348.45   /              350.45

Q2-21    359.17   /              361.17

Q3-21    371.40   /              373.40

CAL21    364.18   /              366.18

 

Rott Hi5               Sing Hi5

Oct20    62           69

Nov20   62           68

Dec20    62           67

Jan21     62           66

Feb21    62           65

Mar21   62           64

Q4-20    62           68

Q1-21    62           65

Q2-21    61           63

Q3-21    61           63

CAL21    62           64

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Chris Hudson

Email: ChrisH@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7951 556947

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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