Ferrous Market
– Tangshan area 10 mills gross profit up 47 yuan to 302 yuan/tonne from last week.
– Some Tangshan trade sources indicate HRC rolling mills stop operation from 4th – 6th. Some structural steel mills stopped operation again after previous curb end in Nov 1st, restart date to be announced.
– Vale resorted to trucking iron ore from its mid-western system in Brazil rather than using river barges due to low water levels in Paraguay River, which probably causing additional costs for Vale and overloading roads with heavy trucks.
– MySteel Rebar Inventory: Rebar production 3.59 million tonnes, down 1.14% w-o-w. Mills inventory 2.799 million tonnes, down 8.76% w-o-w. Circulation inventory 6.14 million tonnes, down 8.98% w-o-w.
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Macro
– China October passenger vehicles daily sales at 57,000, up 10% y-o-y, up 1% m-o-m.
SGX Iron Ore 62% Futures& Options Open Interest(Nov 4th)
– Futures 60,421,900 tonnes(increase 323,700 tonnes)
– Options 74,563,300 tonnes(increase 720,000 tonnes)
Verdict
– Short-term neutral.