Morning Oil Report 16/12/20

Brent crude futures fell 11 cents, or 0.2%, to $50.65 a barrel at 0421 GMT before softening further to $50.48 at 0730GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 9 cents, or 0.2%, to $47.53 a barrel.

 

Crude inventories swelled by 2 million barrels in the week to Dec. 11 to about 495 million barrels, according to industry group API, as the figures were released last night at 2130GMT. Analysts has expected a draw of 1.9 million barrels which could explain why crude prices softened from the day before. The news of a crude build dampened the progress made in the US stimulus package talks. US crude imports fell by 68,000 barrels per day.

 

Distillates such as diesel and heating oil inventories rose by 4.8 million barrel, again after an expected build of only 886k barrels.

 

We await the figures from the EIA today at 1530GMT after last week’s figures noted a 15 million barrel build in crude.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 291.21

* Rott 3.5%: 270.23

* Sing 0.5%: 370.77

* Rott 0.5%: 354.30

 

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* OPEC’s President Says Oil Cartel Cannot Rush Output Increases
* Saudis, OPEC+ Working for Oil Market Stability: Crown Prince
* OPEC+ Treads a Narrow Path as Demand Outlook Weakens Again
* Iran Sends Ship to Load Venezuela Oil Amid Sanctions
* Russia Cuts January Oil-Duty by 7.9% M/m to $38.7 a Ton
* Diesel Rebound Boosts Refining Margins for Light U.S. Crudes
* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpiles Rose 1.97M Bbl Last Week

OTHER NEWS:
* Biden Picks Former Michigan Governor Granholm for Energy Job
* Singapore Joins Saudi Arabia in Probing Jeddah Port Explosion
* Environmentalists Ask Court to Block Arctic Oil Auctio
* Saudis Shield Aramco’s Oil Revenue Forecasts After Going Public
* Florida SBA Backs Nordic American Tankers on 1 of 6 Proposals
* Green Plains to Sell Texas Ethanol Plant as Part of Overhaul

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: Holiday Season to Extend Slump for Gasoline
* EUROPE: Fuel Flows to U.S. to Dip; Repsol Shuts CDU
* ASIA: China’s Refining Record; Universal Terminal

ECONOMIC DATA: (Times are London.)
* OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meets online
* Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman may hold press conference
* Genscape weekly ARA crude inventory report
* 3:30pm: EIA weekly U.S. oil inventory report; TOPLive blog coverage begins 3:20pm
* Mid-month Bloomberg tanker trackers for oil exports from countries including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Libya

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:
* RBC Raises Brent, WTI Crude Oil Price Forecasts for 2021
* Gasoline, Diesel Demand to Return to Normality; Jet to Lag: IEA

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     279.25   /             281.25

Feb21    279.00   /             281.00

Mar21   278.00   /             280.00

Apr21    276.00   /             278.00

May21  273.75   /             275.75

Jun21    271.00   /             273.00

Q1-21    278.75   /             280.75

Q2-21    273.75   /             275.75

Q3-21    265.25   /             267.25

Q4-21    256.75   /             259.75

CAL21    270.75   /             273.75

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Jan21     298.00   /             300.00

Feb21    296.75   /              298.75

Mar21   295.75   /             297.75

Apr21    293.75   /             295.75

May21  291.75   /             293.75

Jun21    289.50   /             291.50

Q1-21    296.75   /             298.75

Q2-21    291.50   /             293.50

Q3-21    284.75   /             286.75

Q4-21    277.50   /             280.50

CAL21    289.25   /             292.25

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     359.25   /              364.25

Feb21    359.75   /              364.75

Mar21   360.25   /              365.25

Apr21    360.75   /              365.75

May21  361.00   /              366.00

Jun21    361.25   /              366.25

Q1-21    359.75   /              364.75

Q2-21    361.00   /              366.00

Q3-21    360.75   /              366.75

Q4-21    360.50   /              366.50

CAL21    360.25   /              366.25

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Jan21     378.25   /              383.25

Feb21    379.00   /              384.00

Mar21   379.50   /              384.50

Apr21    379.75   /              384.75

May21  380.00   /              385.00

Jun21    380.25   /              385.25

Q1-21    379.00   /              384.00

Q2-21    380.00   /              385.00

Q3-21    380.25   /              386.25

Q4-21    380.25   /              386.25

CAL21    379.50   /              385.50

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Jan21     56.07     /              56.21

Feb21    56.15     /              56.35

Mar21   56.25     /              56.45

Apr21    56.39     /              56.59

May21  56.53     /              56.73

Jun21    56.64     /              56.84

Q1-21    56.15     /              56.35

Q2-21    56.52     /              56.72

Q3-21    56.88     /              57.08

Q4-21    57.05     /              57.25

CAL21    56.55     /              56.95

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC                               

Jan21     418.23   /              420.23

Feb21    421.01   /              423.01

Mar21   422.84   /              424.84

Apr21    423.85   /              425.85

May21  424.74   /              426.74

Jun21    426.07   /              428.07

Q1-21    420.70   /              422.70

Q2-21    424.89   /              426.89

Q3-21    428.70   /              430.70

Q4-21    431.54   /              433.54

CAL21    426.45   /              428.45

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