Morning Oil Report 18/12/20

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures slipped 17 cents or 0.4%, to $48.19 a barrel at 0513 GMT, while Brent crude futures fell 26 cents, or 0.5%, to $51.24 a barrel. The price of oil trades to a fresh monthly high ($48.80) as fresh data prints coming out of the US instill an improved outlook for crude consumption, with traders optimistic about progress toward a U.S. fiscal stimulus deal and record-breaking refining demand in China and India.

 

Oil prices eased on Friday as a result of lack of progress on the $900 billion stimulus package yet to be agreed by US law makers and the thought of weakening fuel demand over the usually busy driving season.

 

More than 73.65 million people have been reported to be infected by the novel coronavirus globally and 1,654,920 have died, according to a Reuters tally on Friday. The spike in cases is leading to tough restrictions on travel, weighing on near-term fuel demand and market sentiment, analysts said.

 

Sinopec see china becoming the world’s largest refiner at a staggering 1 billion metric tonnes per year or 20 million barrels per day by 2025. China’s refining capacity is 880 million mt/year currently in 2020 and would be 905 million mt/year in 2021. (S&P Global Platts)

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 293.91

* Rott 3.5%: 272.69

* Sing 0.5%: 373.02

* Rott 0.5%: 356.77

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Nigeria Reopens Borders After Shutdown Raised Prices
* Libya’s Sirte Oil Co. Produced Record 100,000 B/D: NOC
* California Set to Get First Libyan Crude Oil Since 2016: Vortexa
* China Nov. Gasoline Output Fell 0.7% Y/y to 11.74m Tons
* Unipec Buys First Cargo of Mexican Crude Maya in Six Months
* Europe Air Traffic Climbs as Airlines Add Capacity: Eurocontrol
* Colombia’s Heavy Oil Prices Underpinned by Strong Asian Demand
* Mideast-China VLCC Rates Rise; Caribbean-U.S. Dirty Tankers Jump
* OIL OPTIONS: Dec. 2021-2022 Box Call Spreads Bet on Price Surge
* Gasoil Stockpiles Rise in Europe’s ARA Region: Insights Global

OTHER NEWS:
* Lloyd’s of London Plans to Exit Fossil-Fuel Insurance by 2030
* Biden Unveils Team ‘Ready on Day One’ to Fight Climate Change
* What Happens When Tycoons Abandon Their Own Giant Cargo Ships
* Saudi Economy Contracts for Fifth Straight Quarter Amid Oil Cuts
* Venezuela’s Maduro Appoints New Officials at Oil Ministry
* Junk Oil Explorer Dangles 12% Coupon Amid Yield-Chase Alarm

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:

* U.S.: Exxon Baton Rouge Restarting FCC
* EUROPE: Mideast Flows Rise; Urals Margins Gain
* OIL TENDER: Tatneft Offers Diesel Cargo for January Loading
* ASIA: LPG, Mogas Lift Indian Runs; Singapore Fuels

ECONOMIC DATA: (Times are London. )
* Shanghai exchange weekly commodities inventory
* 6pm: Baker Hughes weekly rig count
* 6:30pm: ICE Commitments of Traders report
* 8:30pm: CFTC Commitments of Traders report

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:
* Oil a Vaccine Trade With Strong 2H 2021 Demand Expected: Goldman
* More Declines Likely for U.S. Shale Oil in 2021: BNEF Chart

OTHER FINANCIAL MARKETS:
* Stocks Struggle for Traction; Dollar Strengthens: Markets Wrap

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     288.25   /             290.25

Feb21    287.50   /             289.50

Mar21   286.00   /             288.00

Apr21    283.25   /             285.25

May21  280.25   /             282.25

Jun21    277.25   /             279.25

Q1-21    287.25   /             289.25

Q2-21    280.25   /             282.25

Q3-21    271.25   /             273.25

Q4-21    262.75   /             265.75

CAL21    273.75   /             279.75

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Jan21     307.25   /             309.25

Feb21    305.50   /              307.50

Mar21   304.00   /             306.00

Apr21    301.25   /             303.25

May21  298.50   /             300.50

Jun21    295.75   /             297.75

Q1-21    305.50   /             307.50

Q2-21    298.50   /             300.50

Q3-21    290.75   /             292.75

Q4-21    283.50   /             286.50

CAL21    292.50   /             298.50

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     367.25   /              372.25

Feb21    367.75   /              372.75

Mar21   368.00   /              373.00

Apr21    368.25   /              373.25

May21  368.50   /              373.50

Jun21    368.75   /              373.75

Q1-21    367.75   /              372.75

Q2-21    368.50   /              373.50

Q3-21    368.50   /              374.50

Q4-21    366.75   /              374.75

CAL21    365.75   /              373.75

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Jan21     385.75   /              390.75

Feb21    386.50   /              391.50

Mar21   387.25   /              392.25

Apr21    387.75   /              392.75

May21  388.00   /              393.00

Jun21    388.25   /              393.25

Q1-21    386.50   /              391.50

Q2-21    388.00   /              393.00

Q3-21    388.25   /              394.25

Q4-21    387.75   /              395.75

CAL21    385.50   /              393.50

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Jan21     57.15     /              57.29

Feb21    57.25     /              57.45

Mar21   57.41     /              57.61

Apr21    57.56     /              57.76

May21  57.71     /              57.91

Jun21    57.83     /              58.03

Q1-21    57.21     /              57.51

Q2-21    57.65     /              57.95

Q3-21    58.03     /              58.33

Q4-21    58.20     /              58.50

CAL21    57.72     /              58.12

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC                               

Jan21     427.76   /              429.76

Feb21    430.20   /              432.20

Mar21   431.55   /              433.55

Apr21    432.57   /              434.57

May21  433.41   /              435.41

Jun21    434.63   /              436.63

Q1-21    429.85   /              431.85

Q2-21    433.54   /              435.54

Q3-21    437.30   /              439.30

Q4-21    439.65   /              441.65

CAL21    435.08   /              437.08

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