Morning Oil Report

The fast-spreading new coronavirus strain has shut down much of Britain and has prompted several countries to close their borders to British travellers and freight.

Brent crude futures were down 54 cents, or 1.1% to $50.37 a barrel at 0531 GMT before falling to $49.60 at 0700GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 59 cents, or 1.2%, to $47.38 a barrel.

Both benchmark contracts slid nearly 3% on Monday, partly erasing recent strong gains on the back of the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, seen as key to easing mobility restrictions.

 

The new strain of the coronavirus causes many stocks to fall yesterday as the uncertainty surrounding the recovery from the virus fallout continues. Over 40 countries have now shut their borders to the UK, and many may follow suit in order to stop the spread of this new strain. As a result, brent crude seems to have lost momentum off the back of 7 consecutive weekly gains on the benchmark.

 

The fundamentals that have propped up oil for the last seven weeks seem to be dwindling, with the OPEC output increases coming at a critical time, as oil demand may be tapering off.

 

Physical oil grades globally have been holding up as China continues purchases. China’s crude throughput in November rose 3.2% on year to a record on a daily basis. (Reuters)

 

However, for late 2021, June barrels are trading nearly 80 cents a barrel higher than December barrels. That suggests oversupply could return by the end of next year, particularly as OPEC boosts production.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 295.60

* Rott 3.5%: 274.95

* Sing 0.5%: 374.47

* Rott 0.5%: 358.98

 

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Russia Said to Favor Further OPEC+ Output Hike in February
* Diamondback Boosts Permian Basin Presence With 2 Shale Deals
* Oil Sands Covid-19 Outbreak Spreads to Cenovus Foster Creek
* Venezuela ProducesUp to 80K Fuel Barrels Per Day: Oil Chamber
* U.S. Imports of European Diesel Climb to New High Amid Storms
* Real Oil Price Rally Fades as Asia’s Buying Spree Winds Down

OTHER NEWS:
* Google’s Aramco Deal Risks Irking Staff Over Oil, Politics
* Texas Virus Hospitalizations Surge Above 10,000 to 5-Month High
* BP Joins Gas-From-Cow-Manure Push with U.S. Joint Venture
* Conoco Alaska Drilling With ‘Chillers’ Provokes Groups’ Suit
* Enbridge to Buy Cushing Storage Terminal From Blueknight Energy

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: FCC Work Moved By Marathon, Set by Citgo
* EUROPE: U.S. Pulls More; Jet Fuel Strengthens
* ASIA: Floating Storage Shrinks; Flows to Americas

ECONOMIC DATA: (Times are London.)
* 9:30pm: API weekly U.S. oil inventory report

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:
* U.S. Gasoline Demand Rises Third Straight Week: Descartes
* Oil’s Huge Other Reportables Short Remains a Mystery: Citi
* Supertankers in Floating Storage at NewMulti-Month Low:Braemar

OTHER FINANCIAL MARKETS:
* Asian Stocks Slip on Virus Concerns; Dollar Steady: Markets Wrap

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*

Jan21     279.75   /            281.75

Feb21    278.75   /            280.75

Mar21   277.50   /            279.50

Apr21    274.75   /            276.75

May21   271.75   /            273.75

Jun21     268.50   /            270.50

Q1-21    278.50   /            280.50

Q2-21    271.50   /            273.50

Q3-21    262.00   /            264.00

Q4-21    253.25   /            256.25

CAL21    265.25   /            271.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*

Jan21     296.25   /            298.25

Feb21    294.75   /             296.75

Mar21   293.25   /            295.25

Apr21    290.50   /            292.50

May21   287.75   /            289.75

Jun21     284.75   /            286.75

Q1-21    294.75   /            296.75

Q2-21    287.75   /            289.75

Q3-21    279.50   /            281.50

Q4-21    272.25   /            275.25

CAL21    283.50   /            289.50

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*

Jan21     354.25   /             359.25

Feb21    354.75   /             359.75

Mar21   355.00   /             360.00

Apr21    355.25   /             360.25

May21   355.50   /             360.50

Jun21     355.75   /             360.75

Q1-21    354.75   /             359.75

Q2-21    355.50   /             360.50

Q3-21    355.50   /             361.50

Q4-21    354.25   /             362.25

CAL21    352.75   /             360.75

 

*Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*

Jan21     373.25   /             378.25

Feb21    374.00   /             379.00

Mar21   374.50   /             379.50

Apr21    375.00   /             380.00

May21   375.25   /             380.25

Jun21     375.50   /             380.50

Q1-21    374.00   /             379.00

Q2-21    375.25   /             380.25

Q3-21    375.50   /             381.50

Q4-21    375.25   /             383.25

CAL21    373.50   /             381.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*

Jan21     55.15     /             55.29

Feb21    55.18     /             55.38

Mar21   55.33     /             55.53

Apr21    55.48     /             55.68

May21   55.62     /             55.82

Jun21     55.72     /             55.92

Q1-21    55.16     /             55.46

Q2-21    55.55     /             55.85

Q3-21    55.97     /             56.27

Q4-21    56.14     /             56.44

CAL21    55.66     /             56.06

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*

Jan21     411.75   /             413.75

Feb21    414.41   /             416.41

Mar21   416.03   /             418.03

Apr21    417.44   /             419.44

May21   418.77   /             420.77

Jun21     420.21   /             422.21

Q1-21    414.05   /             416.05

Q2-21    418.81   /             420.81

Q3-21    422.86   /             424.86

Q4-21    426.32   /             428.32

CAL21    420.51   /             422.51

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