Daily Ferrous Physical Review Dec 23rd

Ferrous Market
–    Ganggu Construction Steel Inventory: production 5.31 million tonnes, up 40,100 tonnes w-o-w. Mills inventory 4.46 million tonnes, up 47,800 tonnes w-o-w. Circulation inventory 5.58 million tonnes, down 92,600 tonnes w-o-w.
–    MySteel Australia and Brazil iron ore total delivery at 25.17 million tonnes, up 2.45 million tonnes w-o-w. Australia iron ore delivery 18.31 million tonnes, up 2.62 million tonnes w-o-w. Australia delivery to China 14.31 million tonnes, up 606,000 tonnes w-o-w. Brazil iron ore delivery 6.86 million tonnes, down 165,000 tonnes w-o-w. Global iron ore delivery 32.45 million tonnes, up 2.85 million tonnes w-o-w.
–    CISA data indicated global crude steel November production up 6.6% y-o-y at 158 million tonnes. China November production up 8% y-o-y at 87.7 million tonnes.
–    Vale started Capanema iron ore mining project account for 18 mtpa, expected to start by second half of the year 2023.

China Coal Market
–    China electricity usage reached 7.9 trillion KWH, up 6.5% y-o-y.
–    U.S. President Donald Trump said he is asking Congress to amend the pandemic aid legislation passed earlier this week. U.S. stock futures slip on this possible delay.

SGX Iron Ore 62% Futures& Options Open Interest(Dec 22nd)
–    Futures 80,357,500 tonnes(increase 1,439,200 tonnes)
–    Options 66,879,000 tonnes(increase 511,600 tonnes)

Verdict
–    Short-term neutral to bearish

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