Morning Oil Report 29/12/20

Brent crude climbed 23 cents, or 0.5%, to $51.09 a barrel, as of 0410 GMT and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures added 23 cents, or 0.5%, to $47.85 a barrel.

 

Many participants of the oil market have noted the choppiness of the oil price as we head into the finale of 2020, with the impending OPEC meetings in the new yar brining a sense of uncertainty as the second wave of the virus sweeps through the globe. Although stock and shares are increasing, oil remains stuck below a glass ceiling due to the sheer weight that the increasing cases of the virus brings.

 

Japanese shares rose to the highest levels in thirty years as investor risk appetite increases, just as the UK recorded the highest daily rise in virus cases in a 24-hour period. OPEC+ is tapering record oil output cuts made this year to support the market. The group is set to boost output by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) in January and Russia supports another increase of the same amount in February. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Monday he expected there would be 5 million to 6 million bpd additional oil demand in 2021, which has not fully recovered from the pandemic. (Reuters)

 

Novak said Russia supported a gradual production rise to avoid jolting the market. OPEC+ had initially agreed to increase its production by 2 million bpd starting from January but decided on a smaller increase at its meeting earlier this month. OPEC+ agreed to cut its combined output by an unprecedented almost 10 million bpd, or 10% of global pre-crisis demand, in April. Of that, Russia pledged to cut more than 2 million bpd. (Reuters)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 296.43

* Rott 3.5%: 276.49

* Sing 0.5%: 376.47

* Rott 0.5%: 360.46

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

Jan21     285.50   /            287.50

Feb21    284.25   /            286.25

Mar21   283.25   /            285.25

Apr21    281.25   /            283.25

May21   279.00   /            281.00

Jun21     276.50   /            278.50

Q1-21    284.25   /            286.25

Q2-21    278.75   /            280.75

Q3-21    270.25   /            272.25

Q4-21    261.50   /            264.50

CAL21    271.50   /            277.50

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

Jan21     302.00   /            304.00

Feb21    300.75   /             302.75

Mar21   300.00   /            302.00

Apr21    298.00   /            300.00

May21   296.00   /            298.00

Jun21     294.25   /            296.25

Q1-21    300.75   /            302.75

Q2-21    296.00   /            298.00

Q3-21    290.25   /            292.25

Q4-21    284.00   /            287.00

CAL21    290.25   /            296.25

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

Jan21     364.25   /             369.25

Feb21    363.25   /             368.25

Mar21   363.00   /             368.00

Apr21    362.75   /             367.75

May21   362.75   /             367.75

Jun21     362.75   /             367.75

Q1-21    363.50   /             368.50

Q2-21    362.75   /             367.75

Q3-21    362.25   /             368.25

Q4-21    360.50   /             368.50

CAL21    362.50   /             370.50

 

*Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                              

Jan21     383.00   /             388.00

Feb21    383.50   /             388.50

Mar21   384.25   /             389.25

Apr21    386.25   /             391.25

May21   388.75   /             393.75

Jun21     390.75   /             395.75

Q1-21    383.50   /             388.50

Q2-21    388.50   /             393.50

Q3-21    394.75   /             400.75

Q4-21    399.50   /             407.50

CAL21    382.25   /             390.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                           

Jan21     57.11     /             57.25

Feb21    56.98     /             57.18

Mar21   57.02     /             57.22

Apr21    57.17     /             57.37

May21   57.37     /             57.57

Jun21     57.50     /             57.70

Q1-21    56.98     /             57.28

Q2-21    57.30     /             57.60

Q3-21    57.97     /             58.27

Q4-21    58.51     /             58.81

CAL21    57.64     /             58.04

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

Jan21     426.46   /             428.46

Feb21    428.43   /             430.43

Mar21   429.48   /             431.48

Apr21    430.28   /             432.28

May21   431.13   /             433.13

Jun21     432.29   /             434.29

Q1-21    428.10   /             430.10

Q2-21    431.23   /             433.23

Q3-21    434.78   /             436.78

Q4-21    437.20   /             439.20

CAL21    432.83   /             434.83

 

Rott Hi5               Sing Hi5

Jan21     80.21     82.46

Feb21    80.46     84.21

Mar21   81.21     85.71

Apr21    82.96     89.71

May21   85.21     94.21

Jun21     87.71     97.96

Q1-21    80.60     84.15

Q2-21    85.29     93.96

Q3-21    93.79     106.37

Q4-21    101.37   117.79

CAL21    90.30     100.50

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