Morning Oil Report 6/1/21

Brent crude rose as much as nearly 1% to $54.09 a barrel, the highest since Feb. 26, 2020. It was at $53.87 a barrel at 0536 GMT after jumping 4.9% on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures reached $50.24 a barrel, also the highest since Feb. 26, before slipping to $50. The contract on Tuesday closed up 4.6%.

 

The API data also showed a 5.473 million-barrel and 7.136-million-barrel increase in US gasoline and distillate inventories, but amid the commotion of the OPEC+ meeting and the elections, these large builds in product inventories went mostly unnoticed.

 

Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, agreed on Tuesday to make additional, voluntary oil output cuts of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in February and March, after a meeting with the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other major producers that form the group known as OPEC+. The reductions agreed by Saudi Arabia were included in a deal to persuade other producers in the OPEC+ group to hold output steady. With coronavirus infections spreading rapidly in many parts of the world producers are trying to support prices as demand takes a hit from new lockdowns being put in place. (Reuters)

 

The rise in crude can also be attributed to a draw in the latest US crude stock figures released overnight, and a weakening dollar. The output cuts from Saudi Arabia are not merely a goodwill gesture to other members of the OPEC group, but a pre-emptive measure as we bear witness to increasing lockdowns across the globe as new strains of the virus take hold.

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 306.73

* Rott 3.5%: 289.13

* Sing 0.5%: 403.58

* Rott 0.5%: 375.50

 

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Saudi Arabia’s Surprise Supply Cut Ripples Through Oil Markets
* Shale Will Need More Than $50 Oil and Saudi Cut to Boom Again
* Saudi Oil Output Cuts ‘New Year Gift’ for Market: Novak
* OPEC+ to Prepare Reports on Oil Output Outside Group, Novak Says
* China’s Energy Markets Tighten as Saudi Chokes Oil Supplies
* Mexico Maintains Production Quota After OPEC Meeting: Nahle
* Iraq’s SOMO Offers 1M Bbls Kirkuk Crude for 2H Jan.
* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpiles Dropped 1.66M Bbl Last Week
* Alaska, West Canada Crude Exports to Asia Declined in December
* Libya to Ship 7.8M Bbl of Es Sider Crude in February: Program
* Middle East-China Crude Tanker Rates, Earnings Nudge Lower
* U.S. West Coast to Receive First India Jet Fuel Cargo Since 2015
* Canadian Heavy Crude Price Weakens as Fort Hills Resumes Output

OTHER NEWS:
* Hin Leong’s Court-Appointed Managers Seek to Freeze Lim’s Assets
* From Oil to LNG, Icy Blast of Winter Is Boosting Energy Prices
* Exxon Reveals Petroleum Product Emissions Data for First Time
* Trafigura Got $7 Billion Russian Loan for Arctic Oil Deal

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: 2021 Retail Gasoline Heads Up Beside Crude
* EUROPE: ICE Gasoil Cracks Falls; Total Bids Diesel
* ASIA: Asian Refiners Skip Contracts; Floating Fuels

ECONOMIC DATA: (Times are London. )
* 3:30pm EIA weekly U.S. oil inventory report

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:
* Goldman Sees Surprise Saudi Cut as Signal Oil Demand to Weaken
* Gasoline in New York, Chicago Could Hit $3 This Year: Gas Buddy
* Vaccine Euphoria, OPEC+ Restraint Drives Sentiment, Not Reality: BI
* We’re Entering a New Era of Muted Oil Demand: Schork

OTHER FINANCIAL MARKETS:
* U.S. Futures, Treasuries Drop Amid Georgia Count: Markets Wrap

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

Feb21    301.50   /            303.50

Mar21   300.00   /            302.00

Apr21    298.00   /            300.00

May21   295.75   /            297.75

Jun21     293.25   /            295.25

Jul21      290.75   /            292.75

Q2-21    295.50   /            297.50

Q3-21    288.00   /            290.00

Q4-21    280.00   /            282.00

Q1-22    275.00   /            278.00

CAL22    263.00   /            269.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

Feb21    317.00   /            319.00

Mar21   316.00   /             318.00

Apr21    314.25   /            316.25

May21   312.00   /            314.00

Jun21     309.75   /            311.75

Jul21      307.50   /            309.50

Q2-21    312.00   /            314.00

Q3-21    305.25   /            307.25

Q4-21    298.75   /            300.75

Q1-22    295.00   /            298.00

CAL22    284.25   /            290.25

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

Feb21    383.50   /             388.50

Mar21   382.75   /             387.75

Apr21    382.25   /             387.25

May21   381.75   /             386.75

Jun21     381.25   /             386.25

Jul21      380.75   /             385.75

Q2-21    381.75   /             386.75

Q3-21    380.25   /             385.25

Q4-21    377.75   /             383.75

Q1-22    375.50   /             383.50

CAL22    377.00   /             385.00

 

*Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                              

Feb21    407.75   /             412.75

Mar21   406.00   /             411.00

Apr21    405.25   /             410.25

May21   404.75   /             409.75

Jun21     404.25   /             409.25

Jul21      404.00   /             409.00

Q2-21    404.75   /             409.75

Q3-21    403.75   /             408.75

Q4-21    402.75   /             408.75

Q1-22    402.00   /             410.00

CAL22    388.25   /             396.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                           

Feb21    58.55     /             58.69

Mar21   58.72     /             58.92

Apr21    58.88     /             59.08

May21   59.01     /             59.21

Jun21     59.14     /             59.34

Jul21      59.31     /             59.51

Q2-21    58.95     /             59.25

Q3-21    59.38     /             59.68

Q4-21    59.56     /             59.86

Q1-22    59.89     /             60.19

CAL22    59.15     /             59.55

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

Feb21    439.95   /             441.95

Mar21   439.95   /             441.95

Apr21    441.38   /             443.38

May21   442.36   /             444.36

Jun21     443.25   /             445.25

Jul21      444.42   /             446.42

Q2-21    442.35   /             444.35

Q3-21    445.46   /             447.46

Q4-21    448.10   /             450.10

Q1-22    448.00   /             450.00

CAL22    444.50   /             446.50

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