FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 03/02/2021

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 24 cents, or 0.4%, to $55.00 a barrel at 0447 GMT, for a third straight day of gains. The benchmark hit a one-year high of $55.26 on Tuesday. Brent crude futures rose 26 cents, or 0.5%, to $57.72 a barrel, for a fourth day of gains after hitting $58.05 on Tuesday, the highest since January last year.

 

OPEC are continuing on the path to reduce the supply in the oil market in order to sustain prices amid fears that demand will not return as quick as expected, with international travel still not a possibility to many people, in what is usually an extremely busy time for those in Asia that are planning to celebrate Chinese New Year. The committee is scheduled to meet on Wednesday in order to review the current cuts in oil supply from nations such as Saudi Arabia, but there are not expected to be any changes made.

 

The American Petroleum Institute reported U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 4.3 million barrels in the week to Jan. 29, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a build of 446,000 barrels.[API/S] Gasoline stocks fell by 240,000 barrels, defying analysts’ expectations for a build of 1.1 million barrels, while distillate inventories, which include heating oil and jet fuel, fell by 1.6 million barrels, a bigger draw than expected. (Reuters)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 333.27

* Rott 3.5%: 321.75

* Sing 0.5%: 445.75

* Rott 0.5%: 415.63

 

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Asia’s Fragile Aviation Recovery Set Back by Resurgent Virus
* OPEC+ Sees Key Goal of Draining Oil Surplus Achieved by Mid-Year
* Asia Pushes U.S. Supertanker Port’s Oil Shipments to Record
* WTI Crude Widens Spread to Key Average Amid OPEC+ Report: Chart
* API Reports Weekly U.S. Crude Stockpiles Fell 4.261M BBL
* Iraq to Sell Lebanon 500,000 Tons of Fuel Oil for A Year
* Sonangol Sells Pazflor Shipment, Cuts Prices for Two Oil Cargoes

OTHER NEWS:
* Exxon Defends Dividend After First Annual Loss in Decades
* BP Says Its Electric Car Chargers Aren’t Profitable Yet
* Wilks Family Takes Stake in Another Fracking Industry Player
* Myanmar Turmoil May Have an Impact on These Global Companies
* Glencore Appoints Former Anglo CEO Cynthia Carroll to Its Board
* Marathon Focused on Cost Reduction Until Pandemic is Contained

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: Gasoline Shrugs Off Spate of Refinery Trips
* EUROPE: ICE Gasoil Strengthens; Sarroch Halts CDU
* ASIA: Margins Upside at Risk; Gasoil Backwardation

ECONOMIC DATA: (Times are London.)
* 3:30pm: EIA weekly oil inventory report
* 7pm: EIA releases Annual Energy Outlook 2021
* OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting to review progress and compliance with agreed output cutbacks
** Targets have already been set for February and March and no changes have been mentioned in recent days
* EARNINGS: Enterprise Products Partners LP

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:
* Myanmar Coup May See China Deepen Energy Ties: Fitch Solutions
* Inventories to Fall as Output Restrained Amid Subdued Demand
* Brent Could Rise Above Forecast of $60/Bbl for 2H 2021: MS

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

Mar21   325.75   /            327.75

Apr21    324.00   /            326.00

May21   321.00   /            323.00

Jun21     317.25   /            319.25

Jul21      313.25   /            315.25

Aug21    309.00   /            311.00

Q2-21    320.75   /            322.75

Q3-21    309.00   /            311.00

Q4-21    296.25   /            298.25

Q1-22    288.25   /            291.25

CAL22    279.00   /            285.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC* 

Mar21   339.50   /            341.50

Apr21    337.75   /             339.75

May21   335.00   /            337.00

Jun21     332.25   /            334.25

Jul21      329.00   /            331.00

Aug21    325.75   /            327.75

Q2-21    335.00   /            337.00

Q3-21    325.75   /            327.75

Q4-21    316.25   /            318.25

Q1-22    309.25   /            312.25

CAL22    299.75   /            305.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

Mar21   419.50   /             424.50

Apr21    417.00   /             422.00

May21   414.50   /             419.50

Jun21     412.25   /             417.25

Jul21      410.00   /             415.00

Aug21    407.75   /             412.75

Q2-21    414.50   /             419.50

Q3-21    407.75   /             412.75

Q4-21    401.50   /             407.50

Q1-22    396.75   /             404.75

CAL22    393.00   /             401.00

 

*Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*

Mar21   445.50   /             450.50

Apr21    441.50   /             446.50

May21   438.50   /             443.50

Jun21     436.00   /             441.00

Jul21      433.50   /             438.50

Aug21    431.25   /             436.25

Q2-21    438.50   /             443.50

Q3-21    431.25   /             436.25

Q4-21    425.50   /             431.50

Q1-22    420.50   /             428.50

CAL22    413.75   /             421.75

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*

Mar21   63.67     /             63.81

Apr21    63.56     /             63.76

May21   63.48     /             63.68

Jun21     63.39     /             63.59

Jul21      63.33     /             63.53

Aug21    63.27     /             63.47

Q2-21    63.45     /             63.75

Q3-21    63.23     /             63.53

Q4-21    62.80     /             63.10

Q1-22    62.37     /             62.67

CAL22    62.08     /             62.48

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

Mar21   474.65   /             476.65

Apr21    475.03   /             477.03

May21   475.13   /             477.13

Jun21     475.13   /             477.13

Jul21      475.38   /             477.38

Aug21    475.59   /             477.59

Q2-21    475.10   /             477.10

Q3-21    475.59   /             477.59

Q4-21    474.30   /             476.30

Q1-22    471.29   /             473.29

CAL22    469.73   /             471.73

 

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