Fuel Oil Morning Report 05/02/21

Brent crude futures climbed 40 cents, or 0.7%, to $59.24 a barrel by 0428 GMT, after hitting a high of $59.41, its highest since Feb. 20 last year. Brent is on track to rise 6% this week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures jumped 42 cents, or 0.8%, to $56.65 a barrel, after touching a high of $56.84, its top since Jan. 22 last year. The benchmark contract is on track for a weekly gain of nearly 9%, which would be its biggest weekly gain since October.

 

The OPEC output cut have undoubtedly been positive for the oil market with oil above the $59 barrel mark this morning, further shown by the six-month backwardation in both the Brent and WTI spreads jumped to 13-month highs for both contracts at $2.41 and $2.30 a barrel, respectively. There are growing hopes that there will be some progression on the US stimulus package after stronger than expected set of figures from the US goods sector in December. (Reuters)

 

Chinese demand for crude oil is also helping support the market, as shown by industry tracking that reports two tankers of North Sea crude oil heading to China for March 22 and March 24, said Axi global market strategist Stephen Innes. “When demand drives commodity prices, it has a more bullish impact and leaves a more lasting reflection on price action,” Innes said in a note.

 

Malaysia has overtaken Brazil as the second largest exporter of crude to China. Total imports from Malaysia were up by 76.4% year on year. It was up 35.7% from the December 2020 level. Malaysian inflows comprised of bitumen blend and Nemina blend — all blended grades but not necessarily produced in Malaysia. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 338.65

* Rott 3.5%: 326.31

* Sing 0.5%: 451.92

* Rott 0.5%: 423.06

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Europe Air Traffic’s Forecast-Beating Start to Feb. Under Threat
* Jet Fuel Accounts for Up to 30%-40% Lost Oil Demand: Shell CEO
* Texas Fuel Shipper NuStar Sees Market Close to Pre-Covid Levels
* OIL BAROMETERS: Physical Gauge Flips Positive; WTI Spreads Gain
* Debt-Laden Oil Majors in Retreat Mode Even as Crude Rallies
* OIL OPTIONS: 18 Million-Barrel Bet on WTI Backwardation to Widen
* Two VLCCs With North Sea Crude Sail to China After STS Transfers
* Alta Resources Exploring $3 Billion Shale Sale, Reuters Reports
* Benchmark Oil Tanker Earnings Deepen Plunge Below Zero
* Argentina Gasoline Demand in 2020 is Worst in Decade

OTHER NEWS:
* Rosneft’s Green Pledge With BP Challenged by Its Arctic Plans
* Exxon Mobil Is Said to Consider Adding Jeff Ubben to Board
* World’s Biggest Wealth Fund Set to Target National Oil Giants

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: Nustar Says Oil Market Close to Pre-Pandemic
* EUROPE: Gasoil Stocks Grow in ARA; Jet Fuel Woes
* ASIA: Singapore’s Light Distillate Stockpiles Swell

ECONOMIC DATA/EVENTS: (Times are London.)
* 6pm: Baker Hughes weekly rig count
* 6:30pm: ICE Brent weekly commitment of traders
* 8:30pm: CFTC weekly commitment of traders data
* Shanghai exchange weekly commodities inventory
* EARNINGS: Neste Oyj

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

Mar21   332.00   /            334.00

Apr21    330.25   /            332.25

May21   327.50   /            329.50

Jun21     323.50   /            325.50

Jul21      319.25   /            321.25

Aug21    314.75   /            316.75

Q2-21    327.00   /            329.00

Q3-21    314.75   /            316.75

Q4-21    300.50   /            302.50

Q1-22    292.25   /            295.25

CAL22    280.75   /            286.75

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

Mar21   346.75   /            348.75

Apr21    344.75   /             346.75

May21   342.25   /            344.25

Jun21     339.25   /            341.25

Jul21      336.00   /            338.00

Aug21    332.50   /            334.50

Q2-21    342.00   /            344.00

Q3-21    332.50   /            334.50

Q4-21    321.75   /            323.75

Q1-22    314.50   /            317.50

CAL22    303.00   /            309.00

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

Mar21   431.25   /             436.25

Apr21    428.00   /             433.00

May21   424.75   /             429.75

Jun21     422.00   /             427.00

Jul21      419.25   /             424.25

Aug21    416.75   /             421.75

Q2-21    425.00   /             430.00

Q3-21    417.00   /             422.00

Q4-21    410.25   /             416.25

Q1-22    405.00   /             413.00

CAL22    389.75   /             397.75

 

*Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                              

Mar21   456.00   /             461.00

Apr21    451.50   /             456.50

May21   448.00   /             453.00

Jun21     445.00   /             450.00

Jul21      442.25   /             447.25

Aug21    439.75   /             444.75

Q2-21    448.25   /             453.25

Q3-21    440.00   /             445.00

Q4-21    433.25   /             439.25

Q1-22    428.25   /             436.25

CAL22    419.00   /             427.00

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                           

Mar21   65.01     /             65.15

Apr21    64.90     /             65.10

May21   64.83     /             65.03

Jun21     64.76     /             64.96

Jul21      64.68     /             64.88

Aug21    64.59     /             64.79

Q2-21    64.80     /             65.10

Q3-21    64.55     /             64.85

Q4-21    64.22     /             64.52

Q1-22    64.09     /             64.39

CAL22    63.82     /             64.22

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

Mar21   484.36   /             486.36

Apr21    484.80   /             486.80

May21   484.88   /             486.88

Jun21     484.70   /             486.70

Jul21      484.71   /             486.71

Aug21    484.67   /             486.67

Q2-21    484.80   /             486.80

Q3-21    484.73   /             486.73

Q4-21    482.87   /             484.87

Q1-22    476.79   /             478.79

CAL22    477.06   /             479.06

 

The information provided in this communication is not intended for retail clients. It is general in nature only and does not constitute advice or an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any swap or other financial instruments, nor constitute any recommendation on our part. The information has been prepared without considering your investment objectives, financial situation, or knowledge and experience. This material is not a research report and is not intended as such. FIS is not responsible for any trading decisions taken based on this communication. Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives, and options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. You are advised to perform an independent investigation to determine whether a transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without our prior written consent. Freight Investor Services Ltd (FIS) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 211452) and is a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Freight Investor Services PTE Ltd (‘FIS PTE’) is a private limited company, incorporated and registered in Singapore with company number 200603922G, and has subsidiary offices in India and Shanghai. Freight Investor Solutions DMCC (‘FIS DMCC’) is a private limited company, incorporated and registered in Dubai with company number DMCC1225. Further information about FIS including the location of its offices can be found on our website at www.freightinvestorservices.com

 

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Chris Hudson

Email: ChrisH@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7951 556947

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *