Morning Oil Report 12/02/21

Brent crude was down 47 cents, or 0.8% at $60.67 a barrel by 0309 GMT, having dropped half a percent the previous session. U.S. oil was down 53 cents, or 0.9% at $57.71 a barrel, after falling by 0.8% on Thursday. Both benchmarks closed on Wednesday at their highest levels since January 2020 after a nearly record-setting run of consecutive daily gains.

 

Oil prices have been sustained recently by the output cuts imposed by OPEC and most notably Saudi Arabia, yet oil lost some momentum overnight last night as prices softened with OPEC cutting its demand forecast for 2021 and this International Energy Agency stating that the market was still oversupplied. (Reuters)

 

Asia Pacific gasoline demand is expected to recover to 2019 levels by the end of the first quarter, following the region’s return to pre-COVID gasoil consumption levels in late 2020, said Max van der Velden, principal analyst at Wood Mackenzie. Asia’s gasoline demand is expected to increase by 400,000 bpd in February from January, Kwa added, noting that the expansion over the same period in 2019 was closer to 600,000 bpd. Higher diesel demand in Europe may also soak up excess Asian supplies, Kwa added. (Reuters)

 

We wish everyone a Happy and Prosperous New Year!

 

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Shell to Freeze Salaries for Majority of Staff Amid Overhaul
* New York Driving Comeback Falters With Virus Surge, Cold Blast
* Main North Sea Oil Loadings to Rise to 2.04M B/D in March
* DOE Seeks to Sell 10.1M Bbl of Crude From Strategic Reserve
* North Sea DUC Crude Loadings Set at One Cargo in March
* Russia Orders Oil Cos. to Sell More Fuel at Commodity Exchange
* Brazil’s Gasoline Prices Could Be Further Raised: Bolsonaro

OTHER NEWS:
* Marathon Oil Says It’s Cutting 100 Jobs to ‘Optimize’ Costs
* U.S. Oil Majors Downgraded by S&P on Climate Risk, Earnings

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* U.S.: Cold Snap Is Giving the Oil Rebound a Boost
* EUROPE: VLCC Signals Southwold; Miro Maintenance
* ASIA: Gasoil Margins Seen Below $10; Strong Propane

ECONOMIC DATA/EVENTS: (Times are London.)
* 6pm Baker Hughes weekly rig count
* 6:30pm ICE Brent weekly commitment of traders
* 8:30pm CFTC weekly commitment of traders data
* EARNINGS: Enbridge Inc.
* HOLIDAYS: China, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, Indonesia

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:

* Gasoil Stockpiles Rise in Europe’s ARA Region: Insights Global

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

Mar21   338.50   /            340.50

Apr21    337.75   /            339.75

May21   335.50   /            337.50

Jun21     332.00   /            334.00

Jul21      328.00   /            330.00

Aug21    323.50   /            325.50

Q2-21    335.25   /            337.25

Q3-21    323.50   /            325.50

Q4-21    308.50   /            310.50

Q1-22    299.25   /            302.25

CAL22    290.75   /            296.75

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

Mar21   353.75   /            355.75

Apr21    352.50   /             354.50

May21   350.25   /            352.25

Jun21     347.25   /            349.25

Jul21      344.00   /            346.00

Aug21    340.50   /            342.50

Q2-21    350.00   /            352.00

Q3-21    340.50   /            342.50

Q4-21    329.00   /            331.00

Q1-22    320.00   /            323.00

CAL22    310.25   /            316.25

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

Mar21   442.50   /             447.50

Apr21    438.75   /             443.75

May21   435.50   /             440.50

Jun21     432.50   /             437.50

Jul21      429.75   /             434.75

Aug21    427.25   /             432.25

Q2-21    435.50   /             440.50

Q3-21    427.25   /             432.25

Q4-21    419.25   /             425.25

Q1-22    413.50   /             421.50

CAL22    406.75   /             414.75

 

*Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                              

Mar21   466.50   /             471.50

Apr21    462.25   /             467.25

May21   459.50   /             464.50

Jun21     457.00   /             462.00

Jul21      454.50   /             459.50

Aug21    452.00   /             457.00

Q2-21    459.50   /             464.50

Q3-21    452.00   /             457.00

Q4-21    444.00   /             450.00

Q1-22    437.50   /             445.50

CAL22    429.25   /             437.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                           

Mar21   66.81     /             66.95

Apr21    66.62     /             66.82

May21   66.45     /             66.65

Jun21     66.30     /             66.50

Jul21      66.15     /             66.35

Aug21    66.03     /             66.23

Q2-21    66.40     /             66.70

Q3-21    65.98     /             66.28

Q4-21    65.53     /             65.83

Q1-22    65.01     /             65.31

CAL22    64.60     /             65.00

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

Mar21   496.83   /             498.83

Apr21    497.00   /             499.00

May21   497.00   /             499.00

Jun21     497.00   /             499.00

Jul21      497.00   /             499.00

Aug21    497.24   /             499.24

Q2-21    497.00   /             499.00

Q3-21    497.03   /             499.03

Q4-21    494.33   /             496.33

Q1-22    496.48   /             498.48

CAL22    495.12   /             497.12

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