FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 09/04/21

At 11.05 am Singapore time (0234 GMT), the ICE Brent June contract slipped 5 cents/b (0.08%) from the April 8 settle at $63.15/b, while the May NYMEX light sweet crude contract was up 11 cents/b (0.18%) at $59.71/b.

 

Oil prices have been struggling to find any directional rhythm over the past few weeks with the pressures of COVID-19 weighing on the global economies, especially those of India – who are set to enter another lockdown in certain areas and Brazil. Europe is also struggling with getting to grips with the virus cases, but the vaccine rollout is offering support to officials. Downwards pressures on oil prices were mitigates with a weakening dollar, The US dollar Index, slid 0.44% to 92.069 on April 8 and continued to move in a range during mid-morning trade April 9 to stand at 92.155 at 11.05 am Singapore time, the lowest since it settled at 91.741 on March 22. (S&P Global Platts)

 

This week’s EIA figures reported a draw on crude of 3.5 million barrels, but a build in products with the initial reaction being flat because of the figures.

 

The largest oilfield in Libya, the 300,000-bpd Sharara field, could see crude oil exports from it disrupted if members of the Petroleum Facilities Guard (PFG) follow through with their threat to shut down exports if their demands for pay are not met. Earlier this week, the PFG issued an ultimatum demanding they be paid field allowance compensation. The Sharara oilfield was pumping crude oil near its capacity, at a rate of 280,000 bpd as of the middle of March, according to internal memos of the Akakus Oil joint venture operating the oilfield seen by Argus. (Oilprice.com)

 

In fuel, the front barges crack has noticeably weakened over the past week, having a knock-on effect for the HSFO for the Sing 380 yet the cal22 crack has remained stable at around the -10.8 range. The GO EW also weakened throughout the week, counteracted by a slight push in the fogos when comparing to the start of the week.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 353.90

* Rott 3.5%: 338.75

* Sing 0.5%: 463.29

* Rott 0.5%: 444.88

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

May21   335.75   /            337.75

Jun21     334.25   /            336.25

Jul21      331.50   /            333.50

Aug21    327.75   /            329.75

Sep21    323.25   /            325.25

Oct21    318.50   /            320.50

Q3-21    327.50   /            329.50

Q4-21    314.25   /            316.25

Q1-22    308.50   /            310.50

Q2-22    305.00   /            308.00

CAL22    300.75   /            306.75

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

May21   348.50   /            350.50

Jun21     347.25   /             349.25

Jul21      344.75   /            346.75

Aug21    341.75   /            343.75

Sep21    338.75   /            340.75

Oct21    335.50   /            337.50

Q3-21    341.75   /            343.75

Q4-21    332.75   /            334.75

Q1-22    328.25   /            330.25

Q2-22    324.75   /            327.75

CAL22    320.50   /            326.50

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

May21   444.25   /             449.25

Jun21     443.25   /             448.25

Jul21      442.25   /             447.25

Aug21    441.25   /             446.25

Sep21    440.25   /             445.25

Oct21    439.25   /             444.25

Q3-21    441.25   /             446.25

Q4-21    438.00   /             443.00

Q1-22    434.50   /             440.50

Q2-22    430.50   /             438.50

CAL22    429.50   /             437.50

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                          

May21   464.25   /             469.25

Jun21     463.25   /             468.25

Jul21      462.25   /             467.25

Aug21    461.00   /             466.00

Sep21    460.00   /             465.00

Oct21    459.00   /             464.00

Q3-21    461.00   /             466.00

Q4-21    458.00   /             463.00

Q1-22    455.50   /             461.50

Q2-22    453.00   /             461.00

CAL22    452.25   /             460.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                           

May21   67.17     /             67.31

Jun21     67.28     /             67.48

Jul21      67.36     /             67.56

Aug21    67.43     /             67.63

Sep21    67.50     /             67.70

Oct21    67.53     /             67.73

Q3-21    67.40     /             67.70

Q4-21    67.35     /             67.65

Q1-22    67.31     /             67.61

Q2-22    67.28     /             67.58

CAL22    67.15     /             67.55

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

May21   504.66   /             508.66

Jun21     506.29   /             510.29

Jul21      507.64   /             511.64

Aug21    508.77   /             512.77

Sep21    509.84   /             513.84

Oct21    509.91   /             513.91

Q3-21    508.75   /             512.75

Q4-21    509.37   /             513.37

Q1-22    508.37   /             512.37

Q2-22    506.21   /             510.21

CAL22    506.85   /             510.85

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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