Fuel Oil Morning Report 13/05/21

Brent crude was down 66 cents, or 1%, at $68.66 a barrel by 0444 GMT, after gaining 1% on Wednesday. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was down 67 cents, or 1%, to $65.41 a barrel, having risen 1.2% in the previous session.

 

EIA week ending 5/7

Crude oil: -0.4M

Gasoline: +0.4M

Distillates: -1.7M

Refiner utilz: 86.1%

Impld mogas demand: 8.80Mbpd

 

Figures from the EIA yesterday  proved to be more bullish overall than the API figure released on Tuesday, as gasoline stocks rose by only 0.4 million barrels as opposed to 5 million as reported by the API. Through Wednesday’s trading, oil pulled back from eight week highs as the concerns rise surrounding the Indian variant of COVID-19, which has forces many European countries to remain cautions and vigilant. The UK’s SAGE group have expressed concerns of the final unlocking stage scheduled for the middle of June with some calling for this date to be pushed back if the case count of the new strain continues to rise.

 

Fuel shortages are continuing in the US as the Colonial pipeline remains under control of the group DarkSide, however there are reports filtering through that supplies are slowly back up and running through the pipeline and Biden expects to have the hackers off of the system by the end of the week. Gasoline prices for consumers are pushing highs not seen since 2014, with many gas station on the brink of running dry, with the population told not to hoard supplies. (Reuters)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 383.36

* Rott 3.5%: 371.93

* Sing 0.5%: 495.63

* Rott 0.5%: 479.79

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Jun21    368.25   /             370.25

Jul21      367.50   /             369.50

Aug21   365.00   /             367.00

Sep21    361.25   /             363.25

Oct21    356.75   /             358.75

Nov21   352.75   /             354.75

Q3-21    364.75   /             366.75

Q4-21    353.25   /             355.25

Q1-22    346.75   /             348.75

Q2-22    341.75   /             344.75

CAL22    338.00   /             344.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Jun21    379.00   /             381.00

Jul21      379.00   /              381.00

Aug21   378.00   /             380.00

Sep21    375.75   /             377.75

Oct21    372.75   /             374.75

Nov21   370.25   /             372.25

Q3-21    377.50   /             379.50

Q4-21    370.25   /             372.25

Q1-22    364.75   /             366.75

Q2-22    359.75   /             362.75

CAL22    356.50   /             362.50

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Jun21    474.25   /              479.25

Jul21      474.75   /              479.75

Aug21   475.00   /              480.00

Sep21    474.75   /              479.75

Oct21    474.25   /              479.25

Nov21   473.25   /              478.25

Q3-21    475.00   /              480.00

Q4-21    473.25   /              478.25

Q1-22    469.75   /              475.75

Q2-22    465.25   /              473.25

CAL22    462.50   /              470.50

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Jun21    493.00   /              498.00

Jul21      494.75   /              499.75

Aug21   496.00   /              501.00

Sep21    496.50   /              501.50

Oct21    496.50   /              501.50

Nov21   496.00   /              501.00

Q3-21    495.75   /              500.75

Q4-21    496.00   /              501.00

Q1-22    493.50   /              499.50

Q2-22    489.50   /              497.50

CAL22    486.75   /              494.75

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Jun21    74.57     /              74.71

Jul21      74.47     /              74.67

Aug21   74.41     /              74.61

Sep21    74.35     /              74.55

Oct21    74.20     /              74.40

Nov21   73.97     /              74.17

Q3-21    74.35     /              74.65

Q4-21    73.90     /              74.20

Q1-22    73.38     /              73.68

Q2-22    72.96     /              73.26

CAL22    72.74     /              73.14

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Jun21    559.56   /              563.56

Jul21      560.47   /              564.47

Aug21   561.55   /              565.55

Sep21    560.98   /              564.98

Oct21    558.58   /              562.58

Nov21   557.23   /              561.23

Q3-21    561.00   /              565.00

Q4-21    557.63   /              561.63

Q1-22    554.48   /              558.48

Q2-22    550.73   /              554.73

CAL22    554.14   /              558.14

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

The information provided in this communication is not intended for retail clients. It is general in nature only and does not constitute advice or an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any swap or other financial instruments, nor constitute any recommendation on our part. The information has been prepared without considering your investment objectives, financial situation, or knowledge and experience. This material is not a research report and is not intended as such. FIS is not responsible for any trading decisions taken based on this communication. Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives, and options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. You are advised to perform an independent investigation to determine whether a transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without our prior written consent. Freight Investor Services Ltd (FIS) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 211452) and is a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Freight Investor Services PTE Ltd (‘FIS PTE’) is a private limited company, incorporated and registered in Singapore with company number 200603922G, and has subsidiary offices in India and Shanghai. Freight Investor Solutions DMCC (‘FIS DMCC’) is a private limited company, incorporated and registered in Dubai with company number DMCC1225. Further information about FIS including the location of its offices can be found on our website at www.freightinvestorservices.com

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *