FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 26/05/21

Brent crude oil futures for July fell 6 cents, or 0.1%, to $68.59 a barrel by 0434 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for July was at $65.92 a barrel, down 15 cents, or 0.2%.

 

U.S. crude oil and fuel inventories fell last week, said two market sources, citing Tuesday’s American Petroleum Institute figures. Crude stocks fell by 439,000 barrels in the week ended May 21. Gasoline inventories fell by 2 million barrels and distillate stocks fell by 5.1 million barrels, the data showed. (Reuters)

 

API data released late last night was bullish but the focus remains on Iran and the deal on the Nuclear space which is due to enable the return of Iranian supply to the oil market.

 

Goldman Sachs are still pointing to their previous forecasts of $80 per barrel by Q4 of this year as even though COVID-19 woes are still present, the bounce in demand for oil and products that we are due to see more than warrants the punchy forecast according to the American bank.

 

In some unsurprising news that broke the headlines last week, The Biden administration is working with pipeline companies to strengthen protections against cyberattacks following the Colonial Pipeline hack, with announcements of actions planned in coming days, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) said on Tuesday. (Reuters)

 

The FOB Rotterdam 3.5%S fuel oil barge crack has been rangebound this week, last seen trading on ICE at minus around $11.50/b on May 25, up 3% from the value assessed by S&P Global Platts on May 24. Demand for bunker fuels in Northwest Europe was satisfactory on the day, while supply in the region remained sufficient. There was tight availability of high sulphur fuel oil in Hamburg, Germany, one bunker buyer said. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 371.62

* Rott 3.5%: 363.66

* Sing 0.5%: 485.56

* Rott 0.5%: 473.23

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* Iran Atomic Talks Enter Decisive Round as Oil Trade at Stake
* Iran Has Huge Hoard of Floating Oil to Clear When Sanctions Lift
* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpiles 439K Bbl Last Week
* Nigeria in Accord With Oil Majors That May Unlock New Investment
* Key WTI Spread Signals U.S. Oil Squeeze Heading Into Summer
* OIL DEMAND MONITOR: U.K. Airline Activity Grows; Toll Roads Busy
* Russia to Ramp Up Seaborne Urals Oil Exports to a 14-Month High

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Jun21    361.75   /             363.75

Jul21      361.50   /             363.50

Aug21   359.00   /             361.00

Sep21    355.25   /             357.25

Oct21    351.25   /             353.25

Nov21   347.25   /             349.25

Q3-21    358.75   /             360.75

Q4-21    347.75   /             349.75

Q1-22    342.00   /             344.00

Q2-22    337.75   /             340.75

CAL22    333.25   /             339.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Jun21    367.25   /             369.25

Jul21      368.75   /              370.75

Aug21   369.00   /             371.00

Sep21    368.00   /             370.00

Oct21    365.50   /             367.50

Nov21   363.25   /             365.25

Q3-21    368.75   /             370.75

Q4-21    363.50   /             365.50

Q1-22    359.25   /             361.25

Q2-22    355.00   /             358.00

CAL22    350.25   /             356.25

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Jun21    465.25   /              470.25

Jul21      464.75   /              469.75

Aug21   464.50   /              469.50

Sep21    464.25   /              469.25

Oct21    464.00   /              469.00

Nov21   463.50   /              468.50

Q3-21    464.50   /              469.50

Q4-21    463.25   /              468.25

Q1-22    460.75   /              466.75

Q2-22    456.75   /              464.75

CAL22    454.00   /              462.00

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Jun21    479.75   /              484.75

Jul21      482.25   /              487.25

Aug21   483.75   /              488.75

Sep21    484.50   /              489.50

Oct21    485.25   /              490.25

Nov21   485.25   /              490.25

Q3-21    483.50   /              488.50

Q4-21    485.00   /              490.00

Q1-22    483.50   /              489.50

Q2-22    479.25   /              487.25

CAL22    476.25   /              484.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Jun21    74.51     /              74.65

Jul21      74.37     /              74.57

Aug21   74.28     /              74.48

Sep21    74.21     /              74.41

Oct21    74.11     /              74.31

Nov21   73.90     /              74.10

Q3-21    74.25     /              74.55

Q4-21    73.83     /              74.13

Q1-22    73.24     /              73.54

Q2-22    72.80     /              73.10

CAL22    72.63     /              73.03

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Jun21    558.13   /              562.13

Jul21      559.65   /              563.65

Aug21   560.64   /              564.64

Sep21    561.43   /              565.43

Oct21    560.81   /              564.81

Nov21   558.63   /              562.63

Q3-21    560.55   /              564.55

Q4-21    558.96   /              562.96

Q1-22    555.65   /              559.65

Q2-22    550.77   /              554.77

CAL22    550.95   /              554.95

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
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Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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