FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 09/06/21

At 11:12 am Singapore time (0312 GMT), the ICE August Brent futures contract was up 50 cents/b (0.69%) from the previous settle at $72.72/b while the NYMEX July light sweet crude contract was up 47 cents/b (0.67%) at $70.52/b.

 

Both contracts touched multiyear highs June 4 before settling lower. The ICE Brent contract last settled higher at $71.97/b on May 20, 2019, while the NYMEX light sweet crude contract was last higher at $69.49/b on July 19, 2018, S&P Global Platts data showed.

 

API

Crude -2.108M

Cushing -0.420M

Gasoline +2.405M

Distillate +3.752M

 

Oil complexes continue to rise with support from the EIA report which has confirmed a demand-led recovery from the Coronavirus as declining inventories in the US demonstrate the growing appetite for movement as driving season approaches. The declining inventories on Crude were met with builds on gasoline and distillates overnight as the API released figures which showed of a 2 million barrel draw on the crude but over 5 million barrel combined builds on the gasoline and distillates.  (S&P Global Platts)

 

In fuel yesterday, it was a very similar story across the cracks and Fogo markets, as the market saw softening on the cracks throughout the day on both the front month and cal22, with the Sing and Rott Fogo weakening through Tuesday with an aggressive sell off during the afternoon window, which saw levels close at -88.25 and -64.5, respectively.  On Wednesday morning, the front barges crack opened at -11.00.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 393.07

* Rott 3.5%: 381.17

* Sing 0.5%: 513.92

* Rott 0.5%: 494.46

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* India Oil Refiners Shut for Work Before Likely Demand Pickup
* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpiles Dropped 2.11M Bbl Last Week
* EIA Lowers 2022 Forecasts for Brent and WTI on More OPEC Supply
* EIA Lowers 2022 U.S. Crude Output Forecast to 11.79m b/d
* U.S. Gasoline Demand Slips 1.8% in Memorial Day Week: Descartes
* Benchmark Oil Tanker Losses Deepen; Europe-U.S. Route Drops

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Jul21      387.25   /             389.25

Aug21   386.75   /             388.75

Sep21    384.25   /             386.25

Oct21    381.50   /             383.50

Nov21   378.75   /             380.75

Dec21    376.50   /             378.50

Q3-21    386.25   /             388.25

Q4-21    379.00   /             381.00

Q1-22    373.25   /             375.25

Q2-22    367.25   /             370.25

CAL22    358.00   /             364.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Jul21      398.75   /             400.75

Aug21   399.50   /              401.50

Sep21    398.75   /             400.75

Oct21    397.25   /             399.25

Nov21   395.75   /             397.75

Dec21    394.50   /             396.50

Q3-21    399.00   /             401.00

Q4-21    395.75   /             397.75

Q1-22    391.25   /             393.25

Q2-22    384.75   /             387.75

CAL22    376.00   /             382.00

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*

Jul21      498.25   /              503.25

Aug21   497.50   /              502.50

Sep21    496.75   /              501.75

Oct21    495.50   /              500.50

Nov21   494.25   /              499.25

Dec21    492.50   /              497.50

Q3-21    497.50   /              502.50

Q4-21    494.25   /              499.25

Q1-22    489.00   /              495.00

Q2-22    482.75   /              490.75

CAL22    479.50   /              487.50

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Jul21      518.75   /              523.75

Aug21   518.50   /              523.50

Sep21    518.25   /              523.25

Oct21    517.50   /              522.50

Nov21   516.50   /              521.50

Dec21    515.25   /              520.25

Q3-21    518.50   /              523.50

Q4-21    516.50   /              521.50

Q1-22    512.50   /              518.50

Q2-22    506.75   /              514.75

CAL22    503.25   /              511.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Jul21      78.48     /              78.62

Aug21   78.30     /              78.50

Sep21    78.14     /              78.34

Oct21    77.99     /              78.19

Nov21   77.73     /              77.93

Dec21    77.44     /              77.64

Q3-21    78.25     /              78.55

Q4-21    77.67     /              77.97

Q1-22    77.04     /              77.34

Q2-22    76.47     /              76.77

CAL22    76.02     /              76.42

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Jul21      587.98   /              591.98

Aug21   589.30   /              593.30

Sep21    590.26   /              594.26

Oct21    589.42   /              593.42

Nov21   586.89   /              590.89

Dec21    585.07   /              589.07

Q3-21    589.20   /              593.20

Q4-21    587.12   /              591.12

Q1-22    582.98   /              586.98

Q2-22    576.12   /              580.12

CAL22    575.15   /              579.15

 

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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