FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 10/06/21

At 10:38 am Singapore time (0238 GMT), the ICE August Brent futures contract was down 65 cents/b (0.90%) from the previous settle at $71.57/b while the NYMEX July light sweet crude contract was down 61 cents/b (0.87%) at $69.35/b.

 

EIA week ending 6/4

Crude oil: -5.2M

Gasoline: +7.0M

Distillates: +4.4M

Refiner utilz: 91.3%

Impld mogas demand: 8.48Mbpd

 

Oil futures dipped overnight as a result of the large build on both distillates and gasoline, when Compared to the 5 million barrel draw on crude. The build in gasoline inventories reflected that bullish market expectations after the Memorial Day weekend -typically signalling the start of summer driving season -did not materialize. The key take home from the figures released yesterday was that refiner utilization hit the highest rate in over a year in a sign that the refiners are ramping up production as the expectation for demand for products heats up.

 

Although the short term looks somewhat bearish, all fundamentals point to a positive summer for oil as vaccines rollout globally are pushing on with record days for bookings in the UK earlier this week, and continuously high inoculation rates across the US and countries in  the EU. The market will be eagerly awaiting the fresh pricing prompts that will be brought about with the next IEA June pricing reports. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Iran is planning a speedy increase in its oil output as talks continue between Tehran and six major powers to lift US sanctions that have seen it pumping far below capacity since 2018. Iran and the six powers have been in talks since April to revive a 2015 nuclear deal that former US President Donald Trump exited three years ago, reimposing sanctions that have hit Iran’s economy by sharply cutting its vital oil exports. (Arab News)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 393.66

* Rott 3.5%: 381.32

* Sing 0.5%: 514.73

* Rott 0.5%: 494.54

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* Iran Plots Oil Output Hike as It Sees Nuclear Talks Progress
* Iraq Says U.S. Oil Companies Have Important Role in the Country
* Europe’s Fuel Flows to Americas Dip; Gasoline Ship to California
* Overseas Buyers Cooling to Texas Oil as WTI-Brent Narrows
* Benchmark Oil Tanker Rates Nudge Down; U.S.-Europe Earnings Jump
* U.S. Crude Stockpiles Fall, Refinery Runs Improve: EIA Takeaways
* U.S. Commercial Crude Stockpiles at Their Lowest Since February
* U.S. Imports of Mexican Crude Oil Fall 40%: EIA

 

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Jul21      379.25   /             381.25

Aug21   378.75   /             380.75

Sep21    376.75   /             378.75

Oct21    374.25   /             376.25

Nov21   372.00   /             374.00

Dec21    369.75   /             371.75

Q3-21    378.25   /             380.25

Q4-21    372.00   /             374.00

Q1-22    366.50   /             368.50

Q2-22    360.50   /             363.50

CAL22    356.25   /             359.25

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Jul21      390.00   /             392.00

Aug21   390.50   /              392.50

Sep21    390.25   /             392.25

Oct21    389.00   /             391.00

Nov21   387.75   /             389.75

Dec21    386.75   /             388.75

Q3-21    390.25   /             392.25

Q4-21    388.00   /             390.00

Q1-22    383.50   /             385.50

Q2-22    377.75   /             380.75

CAL22    373.50   /             376.50

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Jul21      489.75   /              494.75

Aug21   489.25   /              494.25

Sep21    488.75   /              493.75

Oct21    488.00   /              493.00

Nov21   486.75   /              491.75

Dec21    485.50   /              490.50

Q3-21    489.25   /              494.25

Q4-21    486.75   /              491.75

Q1-22    482.25   /              488.25

Q2-22    477.50   /              483.50

CAL22    474.25   /              480.25

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Jul21      508.50   /              513.50

Aug21   508.50   /              513.50

Sep21    508.25   /              513.25

Oct21    507.50   /              512.50

Nov21   506.50   /              511.50

Dec21    505.50   /              510.50

Q3-21    508.25   /              513.25

Q4-21    506.50   /              511.50

Q1-22    502.75   /              508.75

Q2-22    498.00   /              504.00

CAL22    494.75   /              500.75

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Jul21      77.70     /              77.84

Aug21   77.53     /              77.73

Sep21    77.36     /              77.56

Oct21    77.18     /              77.38

Nov21   76.89     /              77.09

Dec21    76.57     /              76.77

Q3-21    77.50     /              77.70

Q4-21    76.61     /              76.81

Q1-22    76.20     /              76.40

Q2-22    75.62     /              75.82

CAL22    75.29     /              75.69

 

Ice Gasoil Swap                                               

Jul21      583.15   /              585.15

Aug21   584.34   /              586.34

Sep21    585.35   /              587.35

Oct21    584.46   /              586.46

Nov21   581.97   /              583.97

Dec21    580.02   /              582.02

Q3-21    584.30   /              586.30

Q4-21    582.15   /              584.15

Q1-22    578.13   /              580.13

Q2-22    573.28   /              575.28

CAL22    573.49   /              576.49

 

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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