FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 15/06/21

At 10:56 am Singapore time (0256 GMT), the ICE August Brent futures contract was up 11 cents/b (0.15%) from the previous settle at $72.97/b while the NYMEX July light sweet crude contract was up 10 cents/b (0.14%) at $70.98/b.

 

After last week’s announcement surrounding the US and Iran agreement which saw Brent fall over $1.5 in less than 10 minutes, the Iranian deputy foreign minister has said that talks will only advance after the 18th June with the conclusion of the presidential elections. Analysts have said that the longer these talks go on, the greater the risk that a change of government may take a different stance over the current stumbling blocks to the deal. If the Iranian taps do not open soon, OPEC+ Will have to increase output quotas from its members in order to keep up with demand.

 

Prior to the release of inventory reports from the American Petroleum Institute and the US Energy Information Administration on June 15 and June 16, respectively, analysts surveyed by S&P Global Platts have said that rising refinery demand is expected to have pulled US crude stocks 4.1 million barrels lower in the week ended June 11. This counter-seasonal draw would have left stocks nearly 4% behind the five-year average of EIA data, opening up the widest deficit since July 2018. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Finally, the EIA released its latest Drilling Productivity report yesterday, which continued to show a decline in drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) in the US, with the number of DUCs falling by 247 over May, leaving them at their lowest level since September 2018. In fact, since peaking in June 2020, DUCS have declined by 2,353.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 394.85

* Rott 3.5%: 382.78

* Sing 0.5%: 515.45

* Rott 0.5%: 495.85

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* Biggest Foreign Buyers of U.S. Fuel About to Step on the Pedal
* Indonesia’s Pertamina Imports Less Crude Oil, Fuels in 2020
* More Traders Left Exxon Mobil’s Trading Operation: Reuters
* Gulf Coast, New York Jet Fuel Jump on Traffic at Airports
* U.S. Refinery Insights: Refiners May Be Getting Ahead of Demand
* EIA Sees U.S. Shale-Oil Rising 38K B/D to 7.8M B/D in July
* Oil Surge Is Seen Helping Junk Issuance Reach Record Levels

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Jul21      390.50   /             392.50

Aug21   389.50   /             391.50

Sep21    387.00   /             389.00

Oct21    384.25   /             386.25

Nov21   381.50   /             383.50

Dec21    379.00   /             381.00

Q3-21    389.00   /             391.00

Q4-21    381.75   /             383.75

Q1-22    375.25   /             377.25

Q2-22    369.00   /             372.00

CAL22    360.25   /             366.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Jul21      403.50   /             405.50

Aug21   403.00   /              405.00

Sep21    401.50   /             403.50

Oct21    399.75   /             401.75

Nov21   398.25   /             400.25

Dec21    396.50   /             398.50

Q3-21    402.75   /             404.75

Q4-21    398.25   /             400.25

Q1-22    393.00   /             395.00

Q2-22    386.50   /             389.50

CAL22    378.50   /             384.50

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Jul21      499.00   /              504.00

Aug21   498.25   /              503.25

Sep21    497.50   /              502.50

Oct21    496.75   /              501.75

Nov21   495.50   /              500.50

Dec21    494.25   /              499.25

Q3-21    498.25   /              503.25

Q4-21    495.50   /              500.50

Q1-22    491.00   /              497.00

Q2-22    485.25   /              493.25

CAL22    482.00   /              490.00

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*

Jul21      519.00   /              524.00

Aug21   519.00   /              524.00

Sep21    518.50   /              523.50

Oct21    517.50   /              522.50

Nov21   516.50   /              521.50

Dec21    515.25   /              520.25

Q3-21    519.00   /              524.00

Q4-21    516.50   /              521.50

Q1-22    512.75   /              518.75

Q2-22    506.75   /              514.75

CAL22    503.50   /              511.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Jul21      78.98     /              79.12

Aug21   78.89     /              79.09

Sep21    78.75     /              78.95

Oct21    78.57     /              78.77

Nov21   78.29     /              78.49

Dec21    78.00     /              78.20

Q3-21    78.80     /              79.10

Q4-21    78.23     /              78.53

Q1-22    77.55     /              77.85

Q2-22    76.86     /              77.16

CAL22    76.34     /              76.74

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Jul21      592.65   /              596.65

Aug21   593.81   /              597.81

Sep21    594.60   /              598.60

Oct21    593.43   /              597.43

Nov21   590.67   /              594.67

Dec21    588.83   /              592.83

Q3-21    593.70   /              597.70

Q4-21    590.97   /              594.97

Q1-22    586.47   /              590.47

Q2-22    580.47   /              584.47

CAL22    581.23   /              585.23

 

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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