Morning Oil Report 29/10/21

At 10:00 am Singapore time (0200 GMT), the ICE December Brent futures contract was up 21 cents/b (0.25%) from the previous close at $84.53/b, while the NYMEX December light sweet crude contract rose 6 cents/b (0.07%) at $82.87/b.

 

Oil prices edged up on Friday but were headed for their first weekly losses in at least eight weeks after U.S. oil stocks rose more than expected and Iran flagged it was resuming talks with Western powers which could lead to an end to sanctions.

 

Crude prices have endured wild intra-day swings of close to 3% this week amid a slew of bullish and bearish reports, but were otherwise on track to end the week slightly lower by about 1%. Analysts said that while sentiment was under pressure from large inventory builds in the US and the potential return of Iranian oil as Iran and Western powers return to the negotiating table, the ongoing narrative of a tight supply market has not gone away. “The oil market deficit that is in place will not change anytime soon despite the recent bearish headlines of rising COVID cases across eastern Europe and Asia, potentially additional output from Iran, and expectations it won’t be a particularly bad winter for the North,” said OANDA senior market analyst Edward Moya. (S&P Global Platts)

 

In Nigeria, Shell declared force majeure on Bonny Light crude loadings Oct. 25 due to the shutdown of the Nembe Creek Trunk line, a key pipeline for the grade, a spokesperson said Oct. 27. Bonny Light is one of Nigeria’s main export grades, but the 150,000 b/d Nembe Creek Trunk Line — a pipeline feeding the grade’s export terminal, operated by Aiteo Exploration and Production Limited — has come under repeated attack from militants. Loading volumes are typically around the 250,000 b/d mark, in the absence of disruption.

 

Meanwhile, OPEC and its allies appear set to reaffirm plans to increase crude production by 400,000 b/d in December after an advisory committee saw no major changes in the market’s supply/demand outlook, despite calls from major consumers to further boost output to tame three-year high oil prices. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Nov21   458.00   /             460.00

Dec21    457.25   /              459.25

Jan22     456.00   /             458.00

Feb22    454.75   /             456.75

Mar22   453.25   /             455.25

Apr22    451.50   /             453.50

Q1-22    454.75   /             456.75

Q2-22    449.75   /             451.75

Q3-22    442.75   /             444.75

Q4-22    433.50   /             436.50

CAL22    444.75   /             447.75

CAL23    409.75   /             417.75

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Nov21   442.25   /             444.25

Dec21    441.25   /             443.25

Jan22     440.50   /             442.50

Feb22    439.50   /             441.50

Mar22   437.25   /             439.25

Apr22    434.50   /             436.50

Q1-22    439.25   /             441.25

Q2-22    431.50   /             433.50

Q3-22    422.00   /             424.00

Q4-22    410.50   /             413.50

CAL22    425.50   /             428.50

CAL23    386.50   /              394.50

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Nov21   596.25   /              601.25

Dec21    592.00   /              597.00

Jan22     587.75   /              592.75

Feb22    583.75   /              588.75

Mar22   579.75   /              584.75

Apr22    576.00   /              581.00

Q1-22    583.75   /              588.75

Q2-22    572.25   /              577.25

Q3-22    560.50   /              566.50

Q4-22    549.75   /              555.75

CAL22    566.25   /              572.25

CAL23    524.00   /              533.00

 

Rotterdam VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                   

Nov21   571.50   /              576.50

Dec21    567.75   /              572.75

Jan22     564.00   /              569.00

Feb22    560.25   /              565.25

Mar22   556.50   /              561.50

Apr22    552.75   /              557.75

Q1-22    560.25   /              565.25

Q2-22    549.00   /              554.00

Q3-22    537.25   /              543.25

Q4-22    526.00   /              532.00

CAL22    542.75   /              548.75

CAL23    500.00   /              509.00

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Nov21   94.72     /              94.86

Dec21    93.72     /              93.92

Jan22     92.82     /              93.02

Feb22    91.98     /              92.18

Mar22   91.18     /              91.38

Apr22    90.44     /              90.64

Q1-22    92.00     /              92.20

Q2-22    89.75     /              89.95

Q3-22    88.08     /              88.28

Q4-22    86.82     /              87.02

CAL22    89.06     /              89.46

CAL23    83.76     /              84.16

 

Ice Gasoil Swap                                               

Nov21   716.92   /              718.92

Dec21    710.50   /              712.50

Jan22     703.82   /              705.82

Feb22    697.06   /              699.06

Mar22   689.75   /              691.75

Apr22    682.80   /              684.80

Q1-22    696.90   /              698.90

Q2-22    678.45   /              680.45

Q3-22    668.19   /              670.19

Q4-22    656.41   /              658.41

CAL22    674.48   /              677.48

CAL23    631.18   /              635.18

 

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