Oil Morning Report 5/11/21

Good morning all,

 

At 10:10 am Singapore time (0210 GMT), the ICE January Brent futures contract was up 81 cents/b (1.01%) from the previous close at $81.35/b, while the NYMEX December light sweet crude contract was 89 cents/b (1.13%) higher at $79.70/b.

 

Sentiment in oil markets was recovering after a 2-day selloff that wiped off up to 6% from front-month futures prices. A keenly watched OPEC+ meeting on Nov. 4 concluded without event, with the producer group sticking to its planned 400,000 b/d per month output increase as expected. While investor sentiment has been shaken in recent days by large builds in US oil inventories and the threat of a release from US Strategic Petroleum Reserves, analysts noted that any selloff won’t go far as oil demand continued to outstrip supply as economies reopen. (S&P Global Platts)

 

The resumption of Iran nuclear deal talks, scheduled for Nov. 29, could provide some relief, if an elusive deal that lifts sanctions can be reached. Platts Analytics expects that Iranian crude supply could rise by some 1.4 million b/d with a deal. As they have at every meeting, OPEC+ ministers said they would continue to convene monthly to monitor supply and demand fundamentals. The next meeting is scheduled for Dec. 2. The US oil rig count has continued to climb amid the upswing in prices. The number of rigs chasing primarily oil has moved 16 higher on the week to 528, energy analytics and software company Enverus said, marking the largest one-week increase since March and pushing the number of active oil rigs to the highest since April 2020. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Dec21    413.75   /             415.75

Jan22     413.50   /             415.50

Feb22    412.50   /             414.50

Mar22   410.50   /             412.50

Apr22    408.00   /             410.00

May22  405.50   /             407.50

Q1-22    412.00   /             414.00

Q2-22    405.25   /             407.25

Q3-22    396.50   /             398.50

Q4-22    386.25   /             389.25

CAL22    398.25   /             404.25

CAL23    367.00   /              375.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Dec21    432.25   /             434.25

Jan22     431.25   /              433.25

Feb22    430.00   /             432.00

Mar22   428.50   /             430.50

Apr22    426.75   /             428.75

May22  425.00   /             427.00

Q1-22    429.75   /             431.75

Q2-22    424.75   /             426.75

Q3-22    418.75   /             420.75

Q4-22    411.50   /             414.50

CAL22    419.50   /             425.50

CAL23    390.75   /             398.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Dec21    541.75   /              546.75

Jan22     538.50   /              543.50

Feb22    535.00   /              540.00

Mar22   531.50   /              536.50

Apr22    528.00   /              533.00

May22  524.50   /              529.50

Q1-22    535.00   /              540.00

Q2-22    524.50   /              529.50

Q3-22    512.75   /              518.75

Q4-22    500.50   /              508.50

CAL22    517.25   /              525.25

CAL23    476.00   /              492.00

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Dec21    570.25   /              575.25

Jan22     565.25   /              570.25

Feb22    560.75   /              565.75

Mar22   556.50   /              561.50

Apr22    552.50   /              557.50

May22  548.50   /              553.50

Q1-22    560.75   /              565.75

Q2-22    548.50   /              553.50

Q3-22    536.50   /              542.50

Q4-22    524.75   /              532.75

CAL22    541.50   /              549.50

CAL23    499.00   /              515.00

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Dec21    90.83     /              90.97

Jan22     89.85     /              90.05

Feb22    89.00     /              89.20

Mar22   88.30     /              88.50

Apr22    87.64     /              87.84

May22  86.97     /              87.17

Q1-22    89.00     /              89.30

Q2-22    86.94     /              87.24

Q3-22    85.41     /              85.71

Q4-22    84.25     /              84.55

CAL22    86.35     /              86.75

CAL23    80.35     /              80.75

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Dec21    686.43   /              690.43

Jan22     680.59   /              684.59

Feb22    674.80   /              678.80

Mar22   668.10   /              672.10

Apr22    662.00   /              666.00

May22  657.00   /              661.00

Q1-22    674.50   /              678.50

Q2-22    658.31   /              662.31

Q3-22    649.82   /              653.82

Q4-22    647.58   /              651.58

CAL22    657.55   /              661.55

CAL23    632.54   /              636.54

 

 

 

 

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FIS Oil Desk

 

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