Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • According to US Federal notes overnight, the Federal expected to cut interest rate once in September, and one more cut in late 2024. The Federal expected an ease monetary condition in 2025. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $97.90, +2.80, MTD $98.33. As we expected …
Author archives: Hao Pei
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 21/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE iron ore maintained bullish as expected. Hourly MACD widened in bullish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD created three higher gold crosses from August 15th and reached overbought area. Hourly CCI reached bullish territory. Iron ore potentially extend bullish sentiment in next session. First support 716.5. First resistance 788.5.
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 21/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • Goldman Sachs indicated that China crude oil demand in 2025 should maintain stable, estimated crude oil price at $68/b. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $95.10, +0.65, MTD $98.36. The physical iron ore market became active from this week, eyeing significant growth of discount cargoes …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 19/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE iron ore rebounded during the day. If a breakthrough on 725.5 level, iron ore will potentially see a fast rebound. Otherwise iron ore largely maintain 688.5- 725.5 area. Hourly MACD widened in bullish area. Hourly CCI approached bullish area. Both open interest and volume decreased. However the technical signals indicated …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 19/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • China Ministry of Commerce and seven other departments increased subsidy standards for scrapped automobiles, and raised the subsidy standards for purchasing new energy passenger vehicles and fuel passenger vehicles to 20,000 yuan and 15,000 yuan from 10,000 yuan and 7,000 yuan respectively. • Mining group BHP Billiton announced …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 09/08/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE iron ore consolidated and rebounded significantly this morning. Hourly MACD entered bullish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD entered neutral area after a gold cross created in bearish territory. The next resistance level was 756.0, which was an area with massive trades historically. First support 727.5. First resistance 756.0.
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 09/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • US jobless claims down 17,000 to 233,000, refreshed biggest drop during the year, indicating a warm on job market. • China’s CPI in July increased by 0.5% year-on-year, est. 0.3%, last 0.2%. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $99.30, -1.30, MTD $102.03. IOS traded around $99.5 before …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 08/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bearish, testing support on 704.0. DCE iron ore corrected significantly during the day. Hourly MACD widened in bearish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD entered bearish area. If iron ore broke important support at 704.0, the market should face huge downside risk. Otherwise iron ore potentially see mid-run level rebound. First support 704.0. …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 08/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • China iron ore import in July up by 5% on the month at 102.81 million tons, because of miners increase shipments in June to finish year-end delivery target. • Bank of Japan sent strong dovish signal after the huge financial market volatility spread over the world. The governor …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 07/08/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE iron ore corrected with growing open interest. The area 732.0-740.0 potentially provide strong support. Hourly MACD widened in bearish territory. Hourly CCI entered bearish territory. Hourly iron ore were testing the low in C wave according to Elliot Wave Analysis. However a stablise on this C wave potentially mean the short-run correction …
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