Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • China Ministry of Commerce and seven other departments increased subsidy standards for scrapped automobiles, and raised the subsidy standards for purchasing new energy passenger vehicles and fuel passenger vehicles to 20,000 yuan and 15,000 yuan from 10,000 yuan and 7,000 yuan respectively. • Mining group BHP Billiton announced …
Author archives: Hao Pei
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 09/08/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE iron ore consolidated and rebounded significantly this morning. Hourly MACD entered bullish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD entered neutral area after a gold cross created in bearish territory. The next resistance level was 756.0, which was an area with massive trades historically. First support 727.5. First resistance 756.0.
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 09/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • US jobless claims down 17,000 to 233,000, refreshed biggest drop during the year, indicating a warm on job market. • China’s CPI in July increased by 0.5% year-on-year, est. 0.3%, last 0.2%. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $99.30, -1.30, MTD $102.03. IOS traded around $99.5 before …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 08/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bearish, testing support on 704.0. DCE iron ore corrected significantly during the day. Hourly MACD widened in bearish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD entered bearish area. If iron ore broke important support at 704.0, the market should face huge downside risk. Otherwise iron ore potentially see mid-run level rebound. First support 704.0. …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 08/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • China iron ore import in July up by 5% on the month at 102.81 million tons, because of miners increase shipments in June to finish year-end delivery target. • Bank of Japan sent strong dovish signal after the huge financial market volatility spread over the world. The governor …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 07/08/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE iron ore corrected with growing open interest. The area 732.0-740.0 potentially provide strong support. Hourly MACD widened in bearish territory. Hourly CCI entered bearish territory. Hourly iron ore were testing the low in C wave according to Elliot Wave Analysis. However a stablise on this C wave potentially mean the short-run correction …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 07/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • The Panama Canal Authority announced on August 5th that the maximum draft standard for ships passing through the canal will be raised to 49 feet from today. This standard has been raised again after being increased to 48 feet on July 11th, 2024. The Canal Authority explained that …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 06/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • Global equity market saw a “Black Monday” because of unwind on carry trades, which led to equity and some commodity drop. Nikkei index once dropped by 13%, created the biggest single day correction from 1987. However, traders bet on US emergent interest cut or market stimulus, which help …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 06/08/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE iron ore corrected during the day and bring price trend back to consolidation. From hourly chart, a failure to recover 781.0 in the next session would indicate that iron ore potentially entered a “b wave” of correction phase. Otherwise, iron ore stay in the rangebox from 748.0 – 795.5. Hourly MACD widened …
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Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 05/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE iron ore tested high however dragged by the weak Asian equities during afternoon session. Daily slow stochastic created gold cross in oversold area from last Wednesday. Daily MACD created gold cross today. Iron ore should have upside room in mid-run. From hourly chart, MACD widened in bullish territory. Hourly candles …
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