Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • US jobless rate up by 4.3% in July, refreshed three-year-high, strengthening the concerns on recession. US Labor Department published non-farm payrolls increased by 114,000 in July, est. 175,000. The expectation on interest cut increased after traders saw these data. • According to a Reuters survey, the …
Author archives: Hao Pei
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 02/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE iron ore Jan25 rebounded as expected. From hourly chart, iron ore widened in bullish area. Hourly CCI entered bullish territory. Iron ore maintained bullish trend and potentially test high in the next session. First support 748.0. First resistance 795.5.
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 02/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • BOE cut interest rate by 25 bps to 5%, as expected from the market previously, the first interest cut since early 2020. • The jobless claims of US last week increased by 14,000 to 249,000, refreshed single week high in 2024, est. 236,000. • Eurozone July PMI 45.8, …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 01/08/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE iron ore Jan25 rebounded as expected. Hourly MACD widened in bullish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD approached bullish territory. Hourly CCI tried to breakthrough the boundary of bull and neutral area. Iron ore would accelerate the growth if breakthrough next resistance at 774.0. First support 732.0. First resistance 774.0 …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 01/08/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • The US Federal Reserve ended its two-day monetary policy meeting on July 31st and announced that the target range for the federal funds rate would remain unchanged between 5.25% and 5.5%. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated after the meeting that there is a possibility to discuss lowering policy …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 31/07/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE iron ore Jan25 tested low last night and rebounded significantly during the day. The low of the day fell just on the first support we mentioned on last report. Hourly MACD was on bullish territory. However the first two long candles during the morning session with massive volume indicated a …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 31/07/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • The Eurozone GDP in Q2 after adjusted increased by 0.6% on the year and 0.3% on the month, both higher than market expectations. • Glencore copper production in H1 2024 was 462,600 tons, decreased by 5% on the year. Nickel production decreased by 5% at 44,200 …
Iron Ore DCE Jan25 Daily Technical Review 30/07/24
Verdict- Neutral. Iron ore corrected significantly during the trading day by 3.22%. Iron ore active rolled from Sep24 to Jan25 during this week. New sellers and previous rolling gathered in January contract as increased aggregated open interest, which triggered big drop. Hourly MACD widened in bearish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD reached oversold area. In …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 30/07/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • The Bureau of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Vietnam has issued a notice officially launching anti-dumping investigations on hot rolls originating from China and India. From January to June 2024, the total amount of steel exported from China to Vietnam reached 6.37 million tons, a year-on-year …
Iron Ore DCE Sep24 Daily Technical Review 30/07/24
Verdict- Neutral. Iron ore closed 1.5 yuan/ton above last Friday. Hourly MACD narrowed above 0 axis. Hourly KD corrected from overbought area to neutral area. Iron ore potentially keep testing the resistance area from 784.0- 791.0 in next few sessions. A breakthrough on this area would indicate a reversal in mid-run. Otherwise iron ore maintain …
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