Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 07/12/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The surge in US gasoline inventories raised concerns about sluggish demand, with investors questioning whether OPEC+production cuts can offset the impact of oversupply from other oil producing countries. WTI crude oil fell below the $70 mark for the first time since early July, 4% drop at $69.36 per …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 06/12/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The cooling on the job market intensified the correction on US bond, eyeing three-month low of 10-year US bond yield at 4.167%. US dollar index rebounded to 104, refreshed new high since November 22nd.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $131.40, +0.35, MTD $131.90. There was no …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 05/12/23

Verdict- Neutral. DCE Jan24 contract traded in narrow rangebound today. From hourly chart, MACD created gold cross. Slow stochastic KD created gold cross above oversold area. There is currently no obvious trend movement for iron ore. The current price potentially gain support above 950.0- 954.0 area in short-run. First support 941.0. First resistance 983.0.  

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 05/12/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • U.S. factory orders fell 3.6% on a monthly basis in October, which was larger than the expected 2.6% drop and was the lowest level since April 2020. • The Passenger Car Association of China estimated that wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in November will be 940,000 …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 04/12/23

Verdict- Neutral to Bearish. DCE Jan24 contract tested high and gave back all gains. Hourly MACD created dead cross. Hourly slow stochastic KD approached oversold area after creating a dead cross below overbought area. Hourly CCI reached bearish territory. Short-run technical signals were indicating a potential to test low in the next session. First support …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 04/12/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bearish.   Macro: • The U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI index recorded 46.7, which was lower than expected. It was below 50 for the thirteenth consecutive month, setting the longest record in more than 20 years. • Tangshan and eight surrounding cities in Hebei launched Level II emergency alert to heavy …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 30/11/23

Verdict- Neutral. DCE Jan24 contract rebounded during the trading day. From hourly chart, slow stochastic created two higher gold crosses. CCI reached bullish territory. MACD created gold cross and widened in bullish territory. The support on 941.0 was significant, since iron ore saw reversal twice during the past three trading days. A breakthrough on the …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 30/11/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • European Central Bank Governing Council member said that the first interest rate cut may be carried out in mid-2024, and the bet on the ECB’s interest rate cut in April next year seems a bit optimistic. The governor expected the economy to grow by 2.4% in 2023 and …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 29/11/23

Verdict- Neutral. DCE Jan24 contract rebounded slightly during the entire trading day. The major contract expected to roll to May24 in the next few trading days. From hourly chart, MACD narrowed in bearish territory. Hourly slow stochastic KD rebounded after a gold cross created last night. A rebound required a breakthrough on 964.5. Otherwise iron …