Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 25/08/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • WTO indicated that the global trade should recover gradually in Q2 2023, and should stablise in Q3. The 1.7% growth rate of world trade in 2023 is approachable. • The U.S. jobless claims last week reached 230,000, est. 240,000, last 239,000.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 24/08/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • S&P indicated that the U.S. Service PMI in August at 51.0, refreshed the slowest increase since February. Manufacturing PMI in August at 47.0, down from 49.0 in July, created a four consecutive month drop. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $116.50, +3.20, MTD $107.06. BHP narrowed JMBF discount …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 23/08/23

Verdict- Neutral. DCE Jan24 contract created five-month high in early morning however corrected half of gains in the rest of day. The resistance of 836.5, listed high, was effective in short-run. Hourly MACD widened in bullish area. Hourly CCI corrected from bullish area to neutral area. Hourly slow stochastic KD created dead cross in overbought …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 23/08/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • A package of preferential tax policies to support healthy development of capital market is released by China, aiming to reduce tax burdens over enterprises and individuals.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $113.30, +2.95, MTD $106.43. The high production of steels, low port inventories and deliveries are …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 22/08/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The unchanged 5-year LPR versus 10 bps decrease on 10-year LPR indicated a limited liquidity of China commercial banks. However commercial banks need to maintain the resilience of liquidity supply to real entities. The market expect more rate cuts in the following months in H2.   Iron Ore …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 21/08/23

Verdict- Neutral. DCE Jan24 contract rebounded slightly as expected. Hourly MACD narrowed in bullish area. Hourly candles indicated that iron ore pulled back to last support area from 770.0 –777.0. The short-run resistance was 789.0, which was the last high created in June 26hth. Short-run technical signals were indicating a consolidation. First support 759.0. First …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 21/08/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • Beijing planned to allow local governments to sell 1.5 trillion yuan of special bounds to repay debts. Banks cut key lending rates by 15 bps this week.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $109.35, +0.55, MTD $105.60. The traders were concerning about the fast uptick on low …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 04/08/23

Verdict- Neutral to Bearish. DCE active contract tested high and retreated as expected. The high of the day was slight lower than resistance at 744.0. Hourly CCI entered bearish territory. Hourly MACD flattened in bearish territory. The market would maintain slight bearish unless breakthrough the strong resistance area from 743.5 -759.5. First support 697.0. First …