Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • From January to February, China’s pig iron production reached 140.73 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.6%. The crude steel production was 167.96 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%; The steel production was 21.343 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.9%. China’s coal production above …
Author archives: Hao Pei
Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 18/03/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bullish. DCE May24 contract recovered all losses created on last Friday and this morning. Hourly MACD widened in bullish area. Hourly slow stochastic KD created gold cross in oversold area and climbed up fast to approach overbought area. Hourly CCI was approaching bullish area. First support 787.5. First resistance 822.0.
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 18/03/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • China National Statistics Bureau: China industrial value added amount above designated size up by 7% in January and February, up 0.2% from last December. • A statistic from BOE indicated that the expected inflation rate during the past three month had dropped from 3.3% to 3.0%. The long-run …
Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 13/03/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE May24 contract corrected during the trading day after a short-run recovery during last night. Hourly MACD narrowed. Hourly slow stochastic KD entered oversold territory. Hourly CCI entered bearish territory. Both open interest and volume increased. If iron ore gained support around 800.0 level, the market potentially see reversal. Otherwise iron ore maintains …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 13/03/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • US Labour department statistics indicated February CPI up 0.4% on the month, up 3.2% on the year, both fell into expectations. The strong CPI indicated a stubborn inflation condition, which decreased the probability to see interest cut before June. • EIA increased daily oil production by 90,000 barrels/day, …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 12/03/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • The State Administration of Financial Supervision of China is researching to reduce the down payment of purchasing passenger cars and further optimise the pricing mechanism of new energy vehicles. • US whitehouse expected a slow down on economy growth with stubborn inflation, and predicted CPI growth by 2.9% …
Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 11/03/24
Verdict- Neutral to Bearish. DCE May24 contract saw two major corrections during last few minutes on Friday and Asian afternoon session on Monday respectively. The correction was not over for mid-run as expected from previous reports. However, if iron ore recover the upside of the gap at 856.0, it will indicate a short-run stablisation. Otherwise …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 11/03/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • The US February non-agricultural payrolls up 275,000, however the labor market potentially hide the softening, given a 3.9% increase on jobless rate. • China NBS announced that the February CPI up 0.7%, higher than 0.3% estimated by Reuters. The fast growth ended the four consecutive decrease and created …
Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 07/03/24
Verdict- Neutral. DCE May24 contract traded in smaller range as expected. The high of 896.0 created an intra-day resistance for next session. Iron ore in general moved within the 860.5 – 905.0 rangebox as mentioned in early of the week. Hourly slow stochastic KD potentially create dead cross below oversold area. Hourly CCI reached bullish …
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Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 07/03/24
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • ADP report said that US private sector employment rate increased by 140,000 jobs in February, created the biggest increase since December 2023. Annual pay up 5.1% on the year. • CPAG Statistics: In February, the global manufacturing PMI was 49.1%. Although it decreased by 0.2% month on month, …