Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 09/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • China central bank PBOC announced to carry out a new tool: an afternoon window for reverse repo operations to help manage intra-day liquidity and ease market panic for potential funding tension.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $108.65, -1.85, MTD $111.21. Iron ore market entered watch and …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 08/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • US non-agricultural payroll grew 206,000, estimated 190,000, last 272,000. The unexpected unemployment rate reached 4.1%, refreshed new high from June 2021. • The new-built commercial houses trades in area created new high in 2024 for Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen in June, grew by 21%, 66%, 48% and …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 03/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish.   Macro: • The United Nations conference on trade and development predicted that the global GDP growth will be around 3% in 2024, the short-term trade outlook is cautiously optimistic. Global trade volume may reach 32 $trillion in 2024, however lower than record high at 2022. • US Federal …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 02/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • China Caixin markit PMI up to 51.8 in June, refreshed new high from June in 2021, indicating the manufacturing operation entered an expansion period. • On Monday, iron ore, major commodities and equity market spiked supported by Chinese central bank PBOC plan to borrow government bonds from primary …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 01/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • US PCE index for May grew 2.6% on the year, flat from estimation, which supported the interest cut expectation. The interest cut probability raised from 64% to 68% after the news. • Panama Canal began to gradually increase daily transits from July 22nd. The Canal expected to increase …