Iron ore softer as pundits exchange views on supply outlook

Iron ore futures were a touch softer on Wednesday as investors assessed the supply outlook for iron ore following the recent closure of Vale’s Itabria complex.   Investors grew concerned over tight supply after Vale was ordered to shut down Itabria, which accounts for over 10% of Vale’s output, in the state of Minas Gerais …

Oil Through the Looking Glass 10/6/20

The Glut is Back Those of you who have been watching your crude ticker this morning will see many red numbers on the screen. The reason for this has been the switch of sentiment to concerns about oversupply. We have had reports late last night that the API have predicted a large build in US …

Capesize pushes ahead with iron ore rally

Capesize rates continued to push forward with firm iron ore demand that pushed for more shipping activities in the Pacific market. Thus, the Capesize 5 time charter average hiked up by another $310 day-on-day to $8,055 on Tuesday, for the second consecutive day-rise for the week. Following the rally, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) broke …

DCE slides for second day on cautious buying

Chinese futures dropped on limited buying interest as procurement slowed down and buyers digested high prices and supply impact in the market. The most-actively traded iron ore futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE), for September delivery, continued to descend for the second consecutive day by 1.43% day-on-day to RMB 759.50 per tonne on Wednesday. …

China Demand Pushes Copper Higher

Copper continues to make new highs and is now at its strongest level since February 19, driven by vigorous demand from China. Like iron ore, demand is strong, whilst mine closures caused by Covid-19 have restricted supply. This means previous predictions of a surplus are likely to be erased, creating an unexpected V-shaped recovery. In …

China steel imports boom, exports dip, iron ore softer

Iron ore futures were a touch softer on Tuesday as investors assessed outlook for iron ore.   China imported 1.25 million mt of finished steel in May, up 27.2% month-on-month or up 30.3% year-on-year, according to customs data. During the same period, China’s finished steel exports fell by 30.4% month-on-month or 23.4% to 4.4 million …

Capesize rides along with the iron ore bull run

Capesize rates continued the bullish run over Brazilian supply concerns, while high construction activities in China support iron ore demand. As such, the Capesize 5 time charter average jumped by $438 day-on-day to $7,745 on Monday, after more European players entered the market and pushed up rates. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) followed the rally …

Oil Through the Looking Glass 9/6/20

Easing of Lockdown Bounce Prices have been rising on Brent as hopes that the global recovery post covid-19 will be swift, bringing normal levels of demand back to the battered market. Prices on front month futures have pushed above the $40 level and even Goldman Sachs has raised its oil price forecasts to a $40.40 …

Has Iron Ore Reached its Top?

Consensus The consensus in the financial sector is that iron ore prices are looking overstretched. Almost daily we hear that supply will increase and demand will decrease in the second half of the year. If this is the case, then surely with over 100 million tons of inventory the upside is not limited, it is …

DCE retreats from more Australian exports

Chinese futures retreated slightly today after a recent rally that supported by possible supply concerns in Brazil. As such, the most-actively traded iron ore futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE), for September delivery, dropped by 1.03% day-on-day to RMB 769.50 per tonne on Tuesday. Following the decline, the steel rebar contract on the Shanghai …