Oil Through the Looking Glass 10/6/20

The Glut is Back Those of you who have been watching your crude ticker this morning will see many red numbers on the screen. The reason for this has been the switch of sentiment to concerns about oversupply. We have had reports late last night that the API have predicted a large build in US …

Capesize pushes ahead with iron ore rally

Capesize rates continued to push forward with firm iron ore demand that pushed for more shipping activities in the Pacific market. Thus, the Capesize 5 time charter average hiked up by another $310 day-on-day to $8,055 on Tuesday, for the second consecutive day-rise for the week. Following the rally, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) broke …

China steel imports boom, exports dip, iron ore softer

Iron ore futures were a touch softer on Tuesday as investors assessed outlook for iron ore.   China imported 1.25 million mt of finished steel in May, up 27.2% month-on-month or up 30.3% year-on-year, according to customs data. During the same period, China’s finished steel exports fell by 30.4% month-on-month or 23.4% to 4.4 million …

Capesize rides along with the iron ore bull run

Capesize rates continued the bullish run over Brazilian supply concerns, while high construction activities in China support iron ore demand. As such, the Capesize 5 time charter average jumped by $438 day-on-day to $7,745 on Monday, after more European players entered the market and pushed up rates. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) followed the rally …

Oil Through the Looking Glass 9/6/20

Easing of Lockdown Bounce Prices have been rising on Brent as hopes that the global recovery post covid-19 will be swift, bringing normal levels of demand back to the battered market. Prices on front month futures have pushed above the $40 level and even Goldman Sachs has raised its oil price forecasts to a $40.40 …

Has Iron Ore Reached its Top?

Consensus The consensus in the financial sector is that iron ore prices are looking overstretched. Almost daily we hear that supply will increase and demand will decrease in the second half of the year. If this is the case, then surely with over 100 million tons of inventory the upside is not limited, it is …