Category archives: Fuel Oil
China construction in the bubble, iron ore demand risk remains
Ferrous Sector Money Flow: DCE iron ore aggregated open interest is up 38.97% from April 29th and reached the highest level in Q2, coking coal decreased by 18.55% during the same period. Steel, coke and flat glass used in house construction remained stable on open interest. Investors should be aware of money flow out of …
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Repeat of Oil’s Sub-Zero Plunge Unlikely as June Expiry Nears
Oil’s historic crash below zero looked increasingly like an aberration as the June contract rose for a fourth day in its last session of trading before expiring. Amid growing signs of a nascent recovery in demand, deepening production cuts and optimism that the world is getting closer to finding a vaccine for the coronavirus, futures …
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Commodities Bounce Back on Chinese Stimulus Anticipation and Vaccine Hopes
Freight prices jumped on Monday with front month Capesize futures up over 10% on anticipation of a large stimulus package out of China later this week. This created a knock-on effect into the smaller vessels with the Panamax front month futures up over 5%. Oil futures performed well with a USD 3.00 move higher, as …
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FIS Technical – Brent July Daily
Steel on the march as Brazil supply, port stocks fall
Iron ore futures soared on Monday on supply-side concerns as major producer Brazil becomes a global hotspot for coronavirus. The country has now close to a quarter of a million cases, the four largest total case count, and a death of over 16,000. According to shipping activity models by Westpac, supply from Brazil has fallen …
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Capesize turns the corner with robust Pacific routes
Capesize market seemed to turn around on better freight rates in key routes as cargoes volume returned. Thus, the Capesize 5 time charter average recorded at $2,394 on Friday, up by $402 day-on-day. Despite the rebound, Capesize rates were still almost in historical all time low, thus it may be too early to conclude that …
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OPEC+ battles to cut, investors bet to buy
OPEC+ is responding to the oil market’s collapse with an urgency never seen before. The alliance’s program of production cutbacks this month is well on the way to trimming 9.7 million barrels of daily crude output – roughly 10% of global supplies, according to tanker-tracking data, interviews with physical crude traders and refiners, and assessments …
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Brent July 20 Morning Technical Comment – 240 Min
Sub-$2,000 a new norm for Capesize
Capesize market seemed to dive to a new low with each passing days, prompting trade participants to think if the market has bottomed or another V-shape recovery is around the corner. Gone are the heydays of the boom days when spot cape was trading high toward $200,000 per day in the 2008 and instead the …