Market Verdict on Iron Ore:
• Neutral.

 

Macro:
• Citi Bank expected the global economy growth drop below 2% in 2023, similar to previous predictions by Morgan Stanley, Barkley, Goldman Sachs.
• China November official PMI 48, est. 49, last 49.2.
• U.S. Federal Jerome Powell indicated that potentially slow down December interest hike.

 

Iron Ore Key Indicators:
• Platts62 $101.15, -0.10, NOV AVG $93.25.Medium grade fines saw significant improving interests, trades volume increased from late last week. BHP sold 80,000mt NHGF at $100.8. The market expect more PBF, MACF and JMBF trade during this week. The front spread dec-jan, jan-feb were considered still at low area given a high base number.
SGX Iron Ore 62% Futures& Options Open Interest (Nov 30th)
• Futures 94,415,000 tons(Decrease 29,387,700 tons)
• Options 74,932,500 tons(Decrease 25,187,100 tons)

 

Steel Key Indicators:
• Tangshan average billet cost 3704 yuan/ton ex-factory, up 52 yuan/ton. Steel mills production loss at 154 yuan/ton.

 

Coal Indicators:
• Australia FOB market consolidated from $245-247 during the current two weeks.Tradable levels were heard in the $240-250/mt FOB Australia for December loading. The index was linked to massive trade at $246.5 for Goonyella PMV at current days. There was offer on January delivery at $252, however enticed no bid.
• Chinese cokery plants were proposing the second round of price uptick.