FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 01/04/21

Brent crude for June delivery was up by 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $63.05 a barrel by 0159 GMT after falling 2.2% overnight before pushing up over 40 cents by 0730BST to $63.45. U.S. oil was up 38 cents, or 0.6%, at $59.54 a barrel, having dropped 2.3% on Wednesday.

 

EIA week ending 3/26

Crude oil: -0.9M

Gasoline: -1.7M

Distillates: +2.5M

Refiner utilz: 83.9%

Impld mogas demand: 8.89Mbpd

 

EIA figures released yesterday showed of a positive draw on both the Crude and Gasoline stock, but there was a greater that expected build on distillate stocks which left the market reaction pretty flat as a result, with oil coming off over 2% over the day.

 

Eyes are all on the OPEC meeting scheduled for today, where OPEC and its allies are discussing the way forward for the production schedules into May. With the market as it is, and the fragilities that are persisting with the Coronavirus, many are expecting that the production schedule will remain similar to the levels at current, with only an increase in production according to seasonal demand increases.

 

A lowering of the OPEC+ oil demand growth forecast for this year by 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) also weighed on prices and made it more likely the meeting would result in continued restraint. On Wednesday, the Joint Technical Committee, which advises the group of oil-producing nations that includes Saudi Arabia and Russia, made no formal recommendation, three OPEC+ sources said. (Reuters)

 

In fuel, To address growing demand from its power sector as electricity demand starts to grow, Pakistan State Oil has already issued buy tenders seeking two 65,000-mt cargoes of 180 CST high sulfur fuel oil for delivery over June, according to market traders. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 380.40

* Rott 3.5%: 365.48

* Sing 0.5%: 488.64

* Rott 0.5%: 468.99

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* OPEC+ Panel Ended Without Oil Policy Recommendation: Delegates
* U.S. Oil Demand Is Picking Up as Americans Get Ready to Travel
* Libyan Crude Moves Through Suez Canal as Backlog Eases
* North Sea Johan Sverdrup Exports Set at Record 535K B/D in May
* U.S. Monthly Oil Output Falls 0.2% in Jan. to 3-Month Low: EIA
* U.S. Imports of Saudi Crude Oil Rise 23%: EIA
* EIA: Crude -876k Bbl, Median Est. -1,500k Bbl
* 6pm: Baker Hughes weekly rig count report (instead of on Friday due to holiday)

 

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                               

May21   343.25   /            345.25

Jun21     340.75   /            342.75

Jul21      337.50   /            339.50

Aug21    333.00   /            335.00

Sep21    328.00   /            330.00

Oct21    323.00   /            325.00

Q3-21    332.75   /            334.75

Q4-21    318.50   /            320.50

Q1-22    311.25   /            313.25

Q2-22    307.00   /            310.00

CAL22    304.50   /            307.50

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                   

May21   355.50   /            357.50

Jun21     353.50   /             355.50

Jul21      351.00   /            353.00

Aug21    348.00   /            350.00

Sep21    344.50   /            346.50

Oct21    340.75   /            342.75

Q3-21    347.75   /            349.75

Q4-21    337.75   /            339.75

Q1-22    331.25   /            333.25

Q2-22    326.75   /            329.75

CAL22    326.50   /            329.50

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                               

May21   437.75   /             442.75

Jun21     437.00   /             442.00

Jul21      436.25   /             441.25

Aug21    435.50   /             440.50

Sep21    434.50   /             439.50

Oct21    433.50   /             438.50

Q3-21    435.25   /             440.25

Q4-21    432.50   /             437.50

Q1-22    428.50   /             434.50

Q2-22    424.75   /             430.75

CAL22    422.75   /             428.75

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                   

May21   456.50   /             461.50

Jun21     456.50   /             461.50

Jul21      456.00   /             461.00

Aug21    455.25   /             460.25

Sep21    454.50   /             459.50

Oct21    453.75   /             458.75

Q3-21    455.25   /             460.25

Q4-21    452.75   /             457.75

Q1-22    449.50   /             455.50

Q2-22    446.50   /             452.50

CAL22    445.00   /             451.00

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                 

May21   66.29     /             66.43

Jun21     66.42     /             66.62

Jul21      66.54     /             66.74

Aug21    66.64     /             66.84

Sep21    66.75     /             66.95

Oct21    66.74     /             66.94

Q3-21    66.65     /             66.85

Q4-21    66.60     /             66.80

Q1-22    66.42     /             66.62

Q2-22    66.42     /             66.62

CAL22    66.23     /             66.63

 

Ice Gasoil Swap                                            

May21   499.25   /             501.25

Jun21     501.19   /             503.19

Jul21      502.60   /             504.60

Aug21    503.72   /             505.72

Sep21    505.06   /             507.06

Oct21    505.25   /             507.25

Q3-21    503.80   /             505.80

Q4-21    504.75   /             506.75

Q1-22    505.48   /             507.48

Q2-22    507.96   /             509.96

CAL22    507.45   /             510.45

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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