FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 07/04/21

Brent crude futures for June rose by 34 cents, or 0.5%, to $63.08 a barrel by 0123 GMT before softening by 0730 to $62.78 while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for May was up 32 cents, or 0.5%, to $59.65.

 

API

Crude -2.618M

Cushing -0.840M

Gasoline +4.553M

Distillate +2.810M

 

Following the release of API figures in the US, Crude inventories fell by 2.6 million barrels in the week ended April 2, the sources said, citing the API data. Forecasters had predicted a drop of just 1.4 million barrels. However, gasoline stocks rose by over 4.5 million barrels. Oil production in the U.S. is expected to fall by 270,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2021 to 11.04 million bpd, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday, a steeper decline than its previous monthly forecast for a drop of 160,000 bpd. (Reuters)

 

Indirect talks between the US and Iran regarding a revival of a nuclear deal that would lift sanctions on Iranian crude oil exports were considered constructive by both sides, S&P Global Platts reported. Iran has increased crude exports this year, especially to China, despite the sanctions, and sanctions relief could further raise supply and weigh on prices. However, downward pressure on prices was countered by upward revisions to the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook and the US Energy Information Administration’s Short-Term Energy Outlook reports released late April 6. (S&P Global Platts)

 

The IMF has released its latest global growth figures and they prove to be a lot more optimistic that first thought, with the global economy expected to grow by 6% in 2021 and by 4.4% in 2022 with these figures being upwardly revised 0.8% and 0.2% respectively from October 2020, as a result of the positive steps made in the vaccines rollout to control the effects of COVID-19 in patients. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

Platts Mar Singapore 380cst Month Average 380.40

 

Platts Mar Singapore VLSFO 0.5% Month Average 488.641

 

Platts Mar Singapore Gasoil 10ppm Month Average 69.68

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

May21   338.25   /            340.25

Jun21     336.50   /            338.50

Jul21      334.00   /            336.00

Aug21    330.50   /            332.50

Sep21    326.25   /            328.25

Oct21    321.50   /            323.50

Q3-21    330.25   /            332.25

Q4-21    317.50   /            319.50

Q1-22    312.00   /            314.00

Q2-22    308.25   /            311.25

CAL22    305.50   /            311.50

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

May21   350.75   /            352.75

Jun21     349.75   /             351.75

Jul21      348.00   /            350.00

Aug21    345.75   /            347.75

Sep21    342.75   /            344.75

Oct21    339.50   /            341.50

Q3-21    345.50   /            347.50

Q4-21    337.25   /            339.25

Q1-22    332.25   /            334.25

Q2-22    328.75   /            331.75

CAL22    325.25   /            331.25

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

May21   439.50   /             444.50

Jun21     438.75   /             443.75

Jul21      438.00   /             443.00

Aug21    437.25   /             442.25

Sep21    436.50   /             441.50

Oct21    435.50   /             440.50

Q3-21    437.25   /             442.25

Q4-21    434.50   /             439.50

Q1-22    431.00   /             437.00

Q2-22    427.00   /             435.00

CAL22    425.50   /             433.50

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*

May21   459.25   /             464.25

Jun21     458.25   /             463.25

Jul21      457.25   /             462.25

Aug21    456.75   /             461.75

Sep21    456.00   /             461.00

Oct21    455.25   /             460.25

Q3-21    456.75   /             461.75

Q4-21    454.50   /             459.50

Q1-22    451.75   /             457.75

Q2-22    447.75   /             455.75

CAL22    446.25   /             454.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*

May21   66.78     /             66.92

Jun21     66.83     /             67.03

Jul21      66.90     /             67.10

Aug21    66.97     /             67.17

Sep21    67.04     /             67.24

Oct21    67.04     /             67.24

Q3-21    66.90     /             67.20

Q4-21    66.87     /             67.17

Q1-22    66.78     /             67.08

Q2-22    66.88     /             67.18

CAL22    66.79     /             67.19

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

May21   500.30   /             504.30

Jun21     502.21   /             506.21

Jul21      503.81   /             507.81

Aug21    505.27   /             509.27

Sep21    506.63   /             510.63

Oct21    507.04   /             511.04

Q3-21    505.25   /             509.25

Q4-21    506.75   /             510.75

Q1-22    507.76   /             511.76

Q2-22    509.15   /             513.15

CAL22    509.76   /             513.76

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

The information provided in this communication is not intended for retail clients. It is general in nature only and does not constitute advice or an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to purchase any swap or other financial instruments, nor constitute any recommendation on our part. The information has been prepared without considering your investment objectives, financial situation, or knowledge and experience. This material is not a research report and is not intended as such. FIS is not responsible for any trading decisions taken based on this communication. Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives, and options involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. You are advised to perform an independent investigation to determine whether a transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without our prior written consent. Freight Investor Services Ltd (FIS) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 211452) and is a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”). Freight Investor Services PTE Ltd (‘FIS PTE’) is a private limited company, incorporated and registered in Singapore with company number 200603922G, and has subsidiary offices in India and Shanghai. Freight Investor Solutions DMCC (‘FIS DMCC’) is a private limited company, incorporated and registered in Dubai with company number DMCC1225. Further information about FIS including the location of its offices can be found on our website at www.freightinvestorservices.com

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *