FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 13/04/21

Brent crude oil futures were up 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $63.59 a barrel by 0356 GMT while U.S. crude oil futures gained 28 cents, or 0.5%, to $59.98 a barrel.

 

Robust data coming from China regarding their imports and export data gave oil prices some support overnight, with its imports growing to the highest level in 4 years as the nations looks to leave the pandemic behind and continue is upwards trajectory of growth scheduled over the next 5 years. Oil imports grew by 21% on a year earlier as China was in the midst of the pandemic, and this healthy number is set to continue into 2021 as growth figures rise in tandem. The reports also show a positive sign for gasoline demand which has taken quite a hit over the last six months, with the key driving season approaching demand should likely ramp up. (Reuters)

 

Analysts are suggesting that the EIA figures that are due to be released on Wednesday at 1530 are due to show draws across crude, with distillate and gasoline stocks growing. it is expected that US commercial crude inventories to have fallen 2.9 million barrels last week to around 495.4 million barrels from an uptick in refinery demand. US refinery runs are expected to have reached 15.18 million b/d for the week ended April 9, S&P Global Platts Analytics data showed, putting refinery crude demand at the highest since the week ended March 20, 2020. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Houthi Rebels have claimed responsibility for the drone attacks on the Saudi terminals yesterday, further adding to the tensions in the area, Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi movement said on Monday it had fired 17 drones and two ballistic missiles at targets in Saudi Arabia, including Saudi Aramco facilities in Jubail and Jeddah, though there was no immediate confirmation from Saudi. (Reuters)

 

In fuel, the Gasoil EW differential took a hit yesterday as it came off by over 1 dollar since Friday. The Front Barges crack also continued its downwards trend to lows of -9.50 yesterday, before opening this morning at -9.3, with the Cal22 crack trading late in the day at -10.75.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 352.19

* Rott 3.5%: 338.54

* Sing 0.5%: 465.37

* Rott 0.5%: 444.42

 

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                               

May21   341.75   /            343.75

Jun21     340.25   /            342.25

Jul21      337.25   /            339.25

Aug21    333.50   /            335.50

Sep21    329.00   /            331.00

Oct21    324.25   /            326.25

Q3-21    333.25   /            335.25

Q4-21    320.50   /            322.50

Q1-22    314.75   /            316.75

Q2-22    311.25   /            314.25

CAL22    308.75   /            311.75

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                   

May21   354.50   /            356.50

Jun21     353.25   /             355.25

Jul21      350.50   /            352.50

Aug21    347.25   /            349.25

Sep21    344.25   /            346.25

Oct21    341.00   /            343.00

Q3-21    347.50   /            349.50

Q4-21    338.50   /            340.50

Q1-22    334.75   /            336.75

Q2-22    331.00   /            334.00

CAL22    330.75   /            333.75

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                               

May21   450.00   /             455.00

Jun21     449.25   /             454.25

Jul21      448.50   /             453.50

Aug21    447.50   /             452.50

Sep21    446.50   /             451.50

Oct21    445.50   /             450.50

Q3-21    447.50   /             452.50

Q4-21    444.50   /             449.50

Q1-22    440.75   /             446.75

Q2-22    437.00   /             443.00

CAL22    435.25   /             441.25

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                   

May21   470.75   /             475.75

Jun21     468.75   /             473.75

Jul21      467.25   /             472.25

Aug21    466.25   /             471.25

Sep21    465.50   /             470.50

Oct21    464.75   /             469.75

Q3-21    466.25   /             471.25

Q4-21    463.50   /             468.50

Q1-22    460.25   /             466.25

Q2-22    458.00   /             464.00

CAL22    456.75   /             462.75

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                 

May21   67.86     /             68.00

Jun21     68.00     /             68.20

Jul21      68.13     /             68.33

Aug21    68.25     /             68.45

Sep21    68.32     /             68.52

Oct21    68.32     /             68.52

Q3-21    68.25     /             68.45

Q4-21    68.17     /             68.37

Q1-22    68.07     /             68.27

Q2-22    67.96     /             68.16

CAL22    67.77     /             68.17

 

Ice Gasoil Swap                                            

May21   512.33   /             514.33

Jun21     513.73   /             515.73

Jul21      514.98   /             516.98

Aug21    516.17   /             518.17

Sep21    516.28   /             518.28

Oct21    515.21   /             517.21

Q3-21    515.80   /             517.80

Q4-21    515.39   /             517.39

Q1-22    515.00   /             517.00

Q2-22    513.47   /             515.47

CAL22    513.36   /             516.36

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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