FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 14/10/21

At 10:25 am Singapore time (0225 GMT), the ICE December Brent futures contract was up 9 cents/b (0.11%) from the previous close at $83.27/b, while the NYMEX November light sweet crude contract was 5 cents/b (0.06%) higher at $80.49/b.

 

API

Crude +5.213MM

Gasoline -4.575MM

Distillate -2.707MM

Cushing -2.275MM

 

US crude inventories rose 5.2 million in the week ended Oct. 8, the American Petroleum Institute said in a weekly report late Oct. 13, defying analyst expectations of a 140,000-barrel draw. Gasoline inventories fell 4.6 million in the week and distillate stocks fell 2.7 million barrels, the API said.

 

“The slight revision lower was due to lower-than-expected consumption in the first three quarters of the year,” ING research analysts said in a note Oct. 14, adding that OPEC still expected to see stronger demand in Q4, particularly given the potential for gas to oil switching. However ANZ research analysts in an Oct. 14 note pointed out that while the spike in natural gas could boost petroleum use in areas such as power generation, it could also hurt demand in other areas such as refining. Energy shortages in Europe continue to impact oil markets, with diesel futures in deep backwardation, driven by the switching to gasoil/diesel for power generation. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Oil prices were also supported by concerns about supply tightness after the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that crude oil output in the United States, the world’s biggest producer, is going to decline in 2021 more than previously forecast, though it will bounce back in 2022. The EIA will release its inventory report later on Thursday at 11 a.m. EDT (1500 GMT). (Reuters)

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* OPEC Remains Cautious on Oil-Demand Strength Despite Price Surge
* Putin: We Don’t Want to Limit Oil Output to Push Prices Too High
* U.S. Distillate Margins to Jump 47% This Winter: EIA
* EIA Raises 2022 Forecasts for WTI, Brent Prices by Nearly $6/Bbl
* EIA Raises 2022 U.S. Crude Output Forecast to 11.73m b/d
* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpile Gain of 5.21M Bbl Last Week
* Total U.S. Fuel Demand Still Behind 2019 Levels: EIA’s STEO
* Global Energy Crisis Ripples Through Europe’s Diesel Market

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Nov21   464.00   /             466.00

Dec21    459.00   /             461.00

Jan22     454.75   /             456.75

Feb22    451.50   /             453.50

Mar22   447.75   /             449.75

Apr22    444.25   /             446.25

Q1-22    451.25   /             453.25

Q2-22    440.50   /             442.50

Q3-22    429.00   /             431.00

Q4-22    415.75   /             418.75

CAL22    432.25   /             438.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Nov21   487.00   /             489.00

Dec21    481.50   /              483.50

Jan22     476.25   /             478.25

Feb22    472.25   /             474.25

Mar22   468.50   /             470.50

Apr22    465.00   /             467.00

Q1-22    472.25   /             474.25

Q2-22    461.50   /             463.50

Q3-22    451.75   /             453.75

Q4-22    441.00   /             444.00

CAL22    454.75   /             460.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Nov21   573.50   /              578.50

Dec21    570.00   /              575.00

Jan22     566.50   /              571.50

Feb22    563.00   /              568.00

Mar22   559.50   /              564.50

Apr22    556.00   /              561.00

Q1-22    563.00   /              568.00

Q2-22    552.50   /              557.50

Q3-22    541.50   /              547.50

Q4-22    530.00   /              538.00

CAL22    545.75   /              553.75

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Nov21   598.00   /              603.00

Dec21    594.00   /              599.00

Jan22     589.75   /              594.75

Feb22    585.50   /              590.50

Mar22   581.50   /              586.50

Apr22    578.00   /              583.00

Q1-22    585.50   /              590.50

Q2-22    574.50   /              579.50

Q3-22    563.75   /              569.75

Q4-22    553.00   /              561.00

CAL22    568.00   /              576.00

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Nov21   96.03     /              96.17

Dec21    95.20     /              95.40

Jan22     94.50     /              94.70

Feb22    93.80     /              94.00

Mar22   93.12     /              93.32

Apr22    92.49     /              92.69

Q1-22    93.75     /              94.05

Q2-22    91.77     /              92.07

Q3-22    89.93     /              90.23

Q4-22    88.41     /              88.71

CAL22    89.78     /              90.18

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Nov21   724.29   /              728.29

Dec21    718.51   /              722.51

Jan22     712.71   /              716.71

Feb22    707.15   /              711.15

Mar22   701.30   /              705.30

Apr22    695.50   /              699.50

Q1-22    707.05   /              711.05

Q2-22    691.32   /              695.32

Q3-22    679.64   /              683.64

Q4-22    666.45   /              670.45

CAL22    684.13   /              688.13

 

 

 

 

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
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Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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