FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 18/05/21

Brent crude oil futures were up 19 cents, or 0.3%, at $69.65 a barrel by 0517 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was up 18 cents, or 0.3%, at $66.45 a barrel. Both contracts rose more than 1% on Monday.

 

Oil exports from OPEC+ have surged by over 1 million barrels per day in May as the group has committed to relaxing output cuts to the tune of 350,000 barrels per day in both May and June, with 400,000 barrels per day in July. This is coinciding with the addition of 1 million barrels per day back into the market from Saudi Arabia after the state cut supply to support prices from February as the COVID-19 pandemic decimated oil demand. Ministerial meetings came to the agreement that the market would be more than able to absorb the extra supply, with Goldman Sachs saying at the end of April that the market is likely the realise the biggest jump in oil demand ever over the next 6 months. (OilPrice.com)

 

The British economy entered into its penultimate stage of the unlocking process as indoor dining and drinking recommenced as vaccine rollouts in the EU ramped up. Many scientists are pointing to the vaccine as the tool to protect against the new Indian variant, with early signs showing to be effective against hospitalisations from the virus. In the United States, New York state will no longer require masks in most public spaces for people fully vaccinated against COVID-19 as of Wednesday, and other regions are opening up their economies as well. (Reuters)

 

In fuel yesterday, the front month Fogos were heavily affected, with the Singapore Fogo closing at around -70 yesterday after opening at around -61 and the Euro Fogo closing at around -90 after opening at -82. The front HSFO barges cracked also weakened significantly throughout the course of the day, closing at -11.70, where it opened this morning.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 380.12

* Rott 3.5%: 369.18

* Sing 0.5%: 492.53

* Rott 0.5%: 478.43

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* EIA Sees U.S. Shale-Oil Rising 26K B/D to 7.73M B/D in June
* U.S. Gasoline Demand Up 1% in Week Ended May 14
* Russia Hikes June Crude Export Duty to $58.80/Ton as Oil Rallies
* U.S. Gasoline Imports From Europe Dipped During Colonial Outage

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Jun21    365.25   /             367.25

Jul21      365.25   /             367.25

Aug21   364.00   /             366.00

Sep21    361.50   /             363.50

Oct21    357.25   /             359.25

Nov21   352.75   /             354.75

Q3-21    363.50   /             365.50

Q4-21    353.25   /             355.25

Q1-22    346.50   /             348.50

Q2-22    341.75   /             344.75

CAL22    336.00   /             342.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Jun21    374.50   /             376.50

Jul21      375.50   /              377.50

Aug21   376.00   /             378.00

Sep21    374.75   /             376.75

Oct21    372.00   /             374.00

Nov21   369.50   /             371.50

Q3-21    375.50   /             377.50

Q4-21    369.75   /             371.75

Q1-22    364.25   /             366.25

Q2-22    359.25   /             362.25

CAL22    354.50   /             360.50

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Jun21    475.25   /              480.25

Jul21      475.50   /              480.50

Aug21   475.75   /              480.75

Sep21    475.75   /              480.75

Oct21    475.25   /              480.25

Nov21   474.50   /              479.50

Q3-21    475.75   /              480.75

Q4-21    474.50   /              479.50

Q1-22    471.00   /              477.00

Q2-22    466.50   /              474.50

CAL22    463.75   /              471.75

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Jun21    489.25   /              494.25

Jul21      492.50   /              497.50

Aug21   494.75   /              499.75

Sep21    496.25   /              501.25

Oct21    497.00   /              502.00

Nov21   497.00   /              502.00

Q3-21    494.50   /              499.50

Q4-21    497.00   /              502.00

Q1-22    495.25   /              501.25

Q2-22    491.25   /              499.25

CAL22    488.50   /              496.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Jun21    75.58     /              75.72

Jul21      75.39     /              75.59

Aug21   75.26     /              75.46

Sep21    75.14     /              75.34

Oct21    75.00     /              75.20

Nov21   74.76     /              74.96

Q3-21    75.20     /              75.50

Q4-21    74.69     /              74.99

Q1-22    74.04     /              74.34

Q2-22    73.56     /              73.86

CAL22    73.35     /              73.75

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*

Jun21    565.63   /              569.63

Jul21      566.81   /              570.81

Aug21   567.64   /              571.64

Sep21    568.43   /              572.43

Oct21    567.64   /              571.64

Nov21   565.04   /              569.04

Q3-21    567.65   /              571.65

Q4-21    565.35   /              569.35

Q1-22    561.06   /              565.06

Q2-22    555.25   /              559.25

CAL22    554.67   /              558.67

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

Ricky Forman

Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

Sam Twyford

Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

Jessie Deng

Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

Leave a comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *