FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 21/04/21

Brent crude futures for June fell 48 cents, or 0.7%, to $66.09 a barrel at 0515 GMT, after dropping 48 cents on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for June fell 52 cents, or 0.8%, to $62.15 a barrel. The May contract expired on Tuesday down 1.5% at $62.44.

 

API

Crude +0.436M VS Est.-2.975M

Cushing -1.286M

Gasoline -1.617M VS Est.+0.464M

Distillate +0.655M VS Est.-0.956M

 

Yesterday saw oil prices fall by 2% in the US morning as news circulated of a potential lawsuit being brought against the OPEC group in response to the practices of price manipulation in the way it has handled the cuts made in the oil market since the start of the pandemic. It is unclear at this stage whether full legal proceedings will be made against the group with the idea of the Bill seeming to want to shed more light on the strategy and thought process behind the cut. It is important to note that similar Bills over the past 20 years have not had any traction. Oil reacted negatively to the news yesterday, capping the gains made over the past week after bullish vaccine news and better than expected inventory figures.

 

API figures released late last night showed a crude build after an expected 2 million barrel draw according to some analysts, but this was counteracted by the 1.6 million barrel draw in gasoline figures as driving season and increasing traffic in the US is helping to drive gasoline demand back up. The market eagerly awaits the news of the EIA figures that are due to be released today at 1530BST.

 

Evidently there remains a lot of caution in the market, with this sentiment spanning across asset classes as the real risk of another wave of the Coronavirus takes hold in key global economies. India is currently at a critical period in its pandemic after Delhi is now in a full lockdown with over 25,000 new cases reported in a 24 hour period in the city and over 2,000 death reported for the whole country in a single day. The new strain of the virus has led to many nations closing borders to India in order to isolate the spread, with the UK Prime Minister cancelling a scheduled trip last week.

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 364.11

* Rott 3.5%: 350.96

* Sing 0.5%: 477.74

* Rott 0.5%: 456.04

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* Air Travel Pick-Up Has U.S. Bringing More Jet Fuel From Asia
* Quake and Fire Has Japan Importing Most Fuel in Over 20 Years
* Brent Put Skew Shows Growing Confidence in Oil Prices
* API Reports American Crude Oil Stockpiles Rose 436K Bbl
* U.S. Gasoline Demand Up Less Than 1% in April 16 Week
* Germany Cut February Oil Imports to Lowest Since at Least 2017

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

May21  363.25   /             365.25

Jun21    361.75   /             363.75

Jul21      358.00   /             360.00

Aug21   353.25   /             355.25

Sep21    347.50   /             349.50

Oct21    341.50   /             343.50

Q3-21    353.00   /             355.00

Q4-21    336.75   /             338.75

Q1-22    328.25   /             330.25

Q2-22    322.25   /             325.25

CAL22    318.25   /             324.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

May21  374.75   /             376.75

Jun21    373.50   /              375.50

Jul21      370.75   /             372.75

Aug21   367.25   /             369.25

Sep21    363.00   /             365.00

Oct21    358.50   /             360.50

Q3-21    367.00   /             369.00

Q4-21    355.25   /             357.25

Q1-22    347.50   /             349.50

Q2-22    342.00   /             345.00

CAL22    337.75   /             343.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

May21  461.75   /              466.75

Jun21    460.75   /              465.75

Jul21      459.75   /              464.75

Aug21   458.75   /              463.75

Sep21    457.75   /              462.75

Oct21    456.50   /              461.50

Q3-21    458.75   /              463.75

Q4-21    455.00   /              460.00

Q1-22    450.00   /              456.00

Q2-22    445.00   /              453.00

CAL22    443.25   /              451.25

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

May21  482.50   /              487.50

Jun21    481.25   /              486.25

Jul21      480.25   /              485.25

Aug21   479.50   /              484.50

Sep21    478.50   /              483.50

Oct21    477.50   /              482.50

Q3-21    479.50   /              484.50

Q4-21    476.25   /              481.25

Q1-22    472.25   /              478.25

Q2-22    467.75   /              475.75

CAL22    465.75   /              473.75

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

May21  69.68     /              69.82

Jun21    69.87     /              70.07

Jul21      70.03     /              70.23

Aug21   70.13     /              70.33

Sep21    70.20     /              70.40

Oct21    70.19     /              70.39

Q3-21    70.05     /              70.35

Q4-21    69.96     /              70.26

Q1-22    69.65     /              69.95

Q2-22    69.40     /              69.70

CAL22    69.20     /              69.60

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

May21  523.26   /              527.26

Jun21    525.64   /              529.64

Jul21      527.25   /              531.25

Aug21   528.60   /              532.60

Sep21    529.85   /              533.85

Oct21    529.77   /              533.77

Q3-21    528.55   /              532.55

Q4-21    528.85   /              532.85

Q1-22    527.13   /              531.13

Q2-22    523.68   /              527.68

CAL22    523.09   /              527.09

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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