FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 23/04/21

At 11:17 am Singapore time (0317 GMT), the ICE Brent June contract was up 27 cents/b (0.41%) from the April 22 settle at $65.67/b, while the June NYMEX light sweet crude contract was 36 cents/b (0.59%) higher at $61.79/b.

 

A relatively quiet week for news in oil this week with the EIA crude build being a highlight this week after analysts had predicted a 2 million+ draw. Biden announced that he was focusing more on the US’ responsibility towards becoming greener and cutting CO2 emissions and earlier in the week, there were murmurings of a US bill on the OPEC groups handling of oil cuts in order to control prices.

 

Coronavirus continues to dominate the news globally as India struggles to shake off the virus after having recently left lockdowns, with government re-imposing restrictions after a record rise in cases in a 24 hour period of 315,000 cases. However in Europe, cases seem to be plateauing as the continent seems to be coming out the midst of the pandemic, however the market still remains cautious with the possibility of new variants hampering gains made.

 

As per the decision made during the April 1 meeting, the producer group OPEC will raise its collective output by 350,000 b/d in May, another 350,000 b/d in June, and 441,000 b/d in July. Saudi Arabia, which is currently in the middle of an additional 1 million b/d cut, will also ease the cut by 250,000 b/d in May, 350,000 b/d in June and 400,000 b/d in July. The OPEC+ coalition is set to meet on April 28 to review the decision made April 1, but analysts expect no change to the impending production increases. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 365.58

* Rott 3.5%: 352.59

* Sing 0.5%: 478.14

* Rott 0.5%: 456.57

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* Dirty Oil Flows Into China Pick Up as Tax Rise Plan Poses Risks
* Yemen Houthi Rebels Claim Attack on Aramco Facility in Jazan
* OPEC+ Alliance Said to Hold Full Ministerial Meeting on April 28
* OPEC to Make Case in U.S. Against ‘NOPEC’ Bill: Reuters
* Nine Russian Sokol Crude Cargoes to Be Exported in June: Program

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

May21  361.00   /             363.00

Jun21    359.75   /             361.75

Jul21      356.25   /             358.25

Aug21   352.00   /             354.00

Sep21    346.75   /             348.75

Oct21    341.00   /             343.00

Q3-21    351.50   /             353.50

Q4-21    336.50   /             338.50

Q1-22    328.50   /             330.50

Q2-22    323.00   /             326.00

CAL22    318.25   /             324.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

May21  372.75   /             374.75

Jun21    371.75   /              373.75

Jul21      369.25   /             371.25

Aug21   366.00   /             368.00

Sep21    362.00   /             364.00

Oct21    357.50   /             359.50

Q3-21    365.75   /             367.75

Q4-21    354.50   /             356.50

Q1-22    347.75   /             349.75

Q2-22    342.00   /             345.00

CAL22    337.75   /             343.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

May21  458.25   /              463.25

Jun21    457.50   /              462.50

Jul21      456.75   /              461.75

Aug21   455.75   /              460.75

Sep21    454.75   /              459.75

Oct21    453.75   /              458.75

Q3-21    455.75   /              460.75

Q4-21    452.50   /              457.50

Q1-22    448.25   /              454.25

Q2-22    443.25   /              451.25

CAL22    440.75   /              448.75

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

May21  478.00   /              483.00

Jun21    477.25   /              482.25

Jul21      476.50   /              481.50

Aug21   475.75   /              480.75

Sep21    475.00   /              480.00

Oct21    474.25   /              479.25

Q3-21    475.75   /              480.75

Q4-21    473.50   /              478.50

Q1-22    470.25   /              476.25

Q2-22    465.75   /              473.75

CAL22    463.50   /              471.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

May21  69.35     /              69.49

Jun21    69.52     /              69.72

Jul21      69.65     /              69.85

Aug21   69.72     /              69.92

Sep21    69.76     /              69.96

Oct21    69.74     /              69.94

Q3-21    69.65     /              69.95

Q4-21    69.51     /              69.81

Q1-22    69.24     /              69.54

Q2-22    68.98     /              69.28

CAL22    68.81     /              69.21

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

May21  520.93   /              524.93

Jun21    522.70   /              526.70

Jul21      523.96   /              527.96

Aug21   525.31   /              529.31

Sep21    526.60   /              530.60

Oct21    526.68   /              530.68

Q3-21    525.30   /              529.30

Q4-21    525.84   /              529.84

Q1-22    524.50   /              528.50

Q2-22    521.18   /              525.18

CAL22    521.50   /              525.50

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
UK number: +44 (0) 207 090 1134
Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
Singapore: +65 87984987

Luke Longhurst

Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7966 968761

 

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

Jarryd Smith
Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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