FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 27/04/21

At 11:38 am Singapore time (0338 GMT), the ICE Brent June contract was up 38 cents/b (0.58%) from the April 26 settle at $66.03/b, while the June NYMEX light sweet crude contract was up 38 cents/b (0.6%) at $62.29/b.

 

Oil prices felt the downwards pressure of the increasing worry surrounding the Coronavirus situation in India, with front month futures on Brent falling by over 2% at around midday. With 300,000+ cases reported each day and 2,000+ deaths reported in a single 24 hour period, there is no surprise that oxygen is becoming more expensive than gold in the country as shortages can be seen all around. Nations are coming together globally to provide resources like ventilators to help India combat this wave of the virus.

 

Sources close to the OPEC+ group are expressing concerns at the situations in India, Brazil and Japan, and although the demand forecast last released by the group was an upwards revision, this was very much dependent upon the extent to which COVID-19 cases had subsided and demand returns to normal levels. Yet the situation in the west with the US and Europe has very much buoyed sentiment with a successful vaccine rollout which has fostered growth in economies. Starting in May, the quotas will rise by 350,000 b/d, while Saudi Arabia has said it will ease its extra cut by 250,000 b/d, for a total OPEC+ production increase of 600,000 b/d. (S&P Global Platts)

 

As ExxonMobil tried to take advantage of the volatile market conditions in a year where it posted a net loss of over $20 billion, funding was slashed before the business unit could make any fundamental decisions. The aim was to rival major European trading houses but companywide cuts meant that capital needed for said trades dried up and were subject to management approval. (Reuters)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 366.29

* Rott 3.5%: 353.64

* Sing 0.5%: 478.44

* Rott 0.5%: 457.09

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* OPEC+ Sees Strong Oil Recovery Clouded by India Virus Surge
* Iraq’s Southern Oil Exports in April Stand at 2.7M B/D: Al-Sabah
* OPEC+ May Move JMMC Meeting a Day Earlier to Tuesday: Delegate
* Libya Lifts Force Majeure on Oil Port as Funding Deadlock Eases
* U.S. Gasoline Imports From Europe Decline to 5-Week Low: Data

* 9:30pm: API weekly report on U.S. oil inventories
* OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee meeting

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

May21  361.50   /             363.50

Jun21    360.50   /             362.50

Jul21      358.00   /             360.00

Aug21   354.25   /             356.25

Sep21    349.25   /             351.25

Oct21    344.25   /             346.25

Q3-21    353.75   /             355.75

Q4-21    340.25   /             342.25

Q1-22    333.00   /             335.00

Q2-22    328.00   /             331.00

CAL22    324.25   /             330.25

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

May21  372.50   /             374.50

Jun21    372.00   /              374.00

Jul21      370.50   /             372.50

Aug21   368.00   /             370.00

Sep21    364.50   /             366.50

Oct21    361.00   /             363.00

Q3-21    367.50   /             369.50

Q4-21    358.25   /             360.25

Q1-22    352.50   /             354.50

Q2-22    347.50   /             350.50

CAL22    343.75   /             349.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

May21  461.00   /              466.00

Jun21    460.50   /              465.50

Jul21      459.75   /              464.75

Aug21   459.00   /              464.00

Sep21    458.00   /              463.00

Oct21    457.00   /              462.00

Q3-21    459.00   /              464.00

Q4-21    456.00   /              461.00

Q1-22    452.50   /              458.50

Q2-22    448.50   /              456.50

CAL22    446.50   /              454.50

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

May21  482.00   /              487.00

Jun21    481.25   /              486.25

Jul21      480.75   /              485.75

Aug21   480.25   /              485.25

Sep21    479.50   /              484.50

Oct21    478.75   /              483.75

Q3-21    480.25   /              485.25

Q4-21    478.00   /              483.00

Q1-22    475.00   /              481.00

Q2-22    471.50   /              479.50

CAL22    469.50   /              477.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

May21  69.95     /              70.09

Jun21    70.09     /              70.29

Jul21      70.21     /              70.41

Aug21   70.30     /              70.50

Sep21    70.35     /              70.55

Oct21    70.35     /              70.55

Q3-21    70.25     /              70.55

Q4-21    70.15     /              70.45

Q1-22    69.99     /              70.29

Q2-22    69.35     /              69.65

CAL22    69.29     /              69.69

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

May21  525.68   /              529.68

Jun21    527.54   /              531.54

Jul21      528.83   /              532.83

Aug21   530.10   /              534.10

Sep21    531.35   /              535.35

Oct21    531.43   /              535.43

Q3-21    530.10   /              534.10

Q4-21    530.66   /              534.66

Q1-22    529.51   /              533.51

Q2-22    526.79   /              530.79

CAL22    526.46   /              530.46

 

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
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Shanghai number: +86 (0)21 63012568
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Email: LukeL@freightinvestor.com

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Email: RickyF@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7868 708719

 

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Email: SamT@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+44) 7729 118643

 

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Email: jessied@freightinvestor.com

Mobile: (+86)1352 4516743

 

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Email: jarryds@freightinvestor.com
Mobile: (+65) 87984987

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