FIS Fuel Oil Morning Report 30/03/21

Brent crude was down 15 cents, or 0.2%, at $64.83 a barrel by 0615 GMT, after gaining 0.6% on Monday. U.S. oil was down 1 cent at $61.55 a barrel, having fallen 1% in the previous session.

 

Shipping in the Suez Canal resumed late on Monday night after the vessel Ever Given was removed after 6 days of being lodged between the two banks of the canal. The resumption of the shipping route was welcome news for the queue of over 400 vessels waiting to pass through the vital shipping lane. 30,000 cubic meters of sand was needed to be dredged from the area, in order to facilitate the refloating of the 224,000-ton container ship. There are estimates that the backlog could take weeks to clear according to various sources, but the Canal authorities are looking to waste no time in clearing the build-up with accelerated crossings. (Reuters)

 

Oil prices gained slightly on Monday after the market expects output to be held steady by OPEC+ after the fragilities seen earlier in the month with oil falling to below $61 per barrel after hitting highs of over $70 at the beginning of the month. The decision on output due on the 1st April is expected to be similar to that of the one in early March, with slight increases in line with seasonal demand. Discussions will continue with regards to the roadmap of members production quotas, with how best to navigate supply though a critical time in the recovery of global economies from the pandemic, with the real risk of virus resurgence that will undoubtedly affect demand for oil and products.

 

High sulphur fuel oil demand from power plants in Bangladesh is expected to rise in April, gaining momentum as temperatures in the subcontinent rise, with HSFO imports likely to reach around 400,000 mt, from 350,000 mt in March. Looking ahead, the market expects a gradual decline in HSFO cracks to continue, according to the swaps market. At the end of last week, HSFO cracks were expected to fall to $10/b below Brent in November. In March, the 0.5%-HSFO (or the ‘Hi5’) spread for Northwest Europe has averaged more than $100/mt. That compares with about $109/mt in February, Platts data showed. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 381.53

* Rott 3.5%: 366.64

* Sing 0.5%: 490.28

* Rott 0.5%: 470.60

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP:
* Suez Canal Reopens to Traffic After Ship Is Finally Pulled Free
* Ships Start to Move in Canal After Ever Given Freed: Suez Update
* Brazil Exports 1st Cargo of Medium Sweet Atapu Crude to China
* Jet Fuel’s Rebound on Spring Break Travel Gives Refiners Hope
* Oil Supertanker Earnings Reach 2 1/2-Month High; WAF Rates Jump

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                          

Apr21    355.25   /            357.25

May21   354.00   /            356.00

Jun21     351.00   /            353.00

Jul21      347.25   /            349.25

Aug21    342.75   /            344.75

Sep21    337.25   /            339.25

Q2-21    353.25   /            355.25

Q3-21    342.25   /            344.25

Q4-21    326.50   /            328.50

Q1-22    317.75   /            320.75

CAL22    308.00   /            314.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                               

Apr21    368.50   /            370.50

May21   366.75   /             368.75

Jun21     364.25   /            366.25

Jul21      361.50   /            363.50

Aug21    358.25   /            360.25

Sep21    354.25   /            356.25

Q2-21    366.50   /            368.50

Q3-21    358.00   /            360.00

Q4-21    346.25   /            348.25

Q1-22    339.00   /            342.00

CAL22    329.75   /            335.75

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                         

Apr21    449.25   /             454.25

May21   448.75   /             453.75

Jun21     448.25   /             453.25

Jul21      447.75   /             452.75

Aug21    447.00   /             452.00

Sep21    446.25   /             451.25

Q2-21    448.75   /             453.75

Q3-21    447.00   /             452.00

Q4-21    443.75   /             449.75

Q1-22    439.75   /             447.75

CAL22    435.25   /             443.25

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                          

Apr21    470.25   /             475.25

May21   469.75   /             474.75

Jun21     469.25   /             474.25

Jul21      468.50   /             473.50

Aug21    467.75   /             472.75

Sep21    467.00   /             472.00

Q2-21    469.75   /             474.75

Q3-21    467.75   /             472.75

Q4-21    465.00   /             471.00

Q1-22    461.00   /             469.00

CAL22    456.50   /             464.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                           

Apr21    67.86     /             68.00

May21   68.02     /             68.22

Jun21     68.17     /             68.37

Jul21      68.26     /             68.46

Aug21    68.30     /             68.50

Sep21    68.32     /             68.52

Q2-21    67.95     /             68.25

Q3-21    68.25     /             68.55

Q4-21    68.10     /             68.40

Q1-22    67.92     /             68.22

CAL22    67.70     /             68.10

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                        

Apr21    509.26   /             513.26

May21   511.34   /             515.34

Jun21     512.79   /             516.79

Jul21      514.02   /             518.02

Aug21    514.97   /             518.97

Sep21    515.73   /             519.73

Q2-21    511.15   /             515.15

Q3-21    514.91   /             518.91

Q4-21    514.88   /             518.88

Q1-22    512.33   /             516.33

CAL22    509.60   /             513.60

For more information please contact

FIS Oil Desk

info@freightinvestor.com
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