Morning Oil Report 1/11/21

At 11:01 am Singapore time (0301 GMT), the ICE January Brent futures contract was down 23 cents/b (0.27%) from the previous close at $83.49/b, while the NYMEX December light sweet crude contract fell 41 cents/b (0.49%) at $83.16/b.

 

Crude oil futures dipped in mid-morning trade in Asia Nov. 1 following weak economic data out of China and Beijing’s announcement that it would release state oil product reserves to the domestic market. China’s National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration said Oct. 31. that it will release state oil product reserves to the domestic market to offset a supply shortage and stabilize prices in certain regions. The announcement shows the government’s efforts to ensure domestic supplies and to control inflation by capping energy prices. It did not announce the volume to be released or targeted regions. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Latest Commitments of Traders data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed investors have turned sour on the outlook for oil prices, with speculative net longs in the NYMEX oil contract posting its first decline in four weeks as of Oct. 26. Speculative net longs in the NYMEX contract fell by 5,992 lots to 340,844 in the week to Oct. 26, CFTC data showed. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Having settled lower last week for the first time since early September, ICE Brent continues to trade lower in early morning trading in Asia. Part of the more recent weakness probably reflects the growing pressure on OPEC+ to increase output more aggressively. The US administration has called on OPEC+ once again to increase output and it is yet to be seen what else the US would be willing to do in order to bring prices down. We would expect noise from key consumers to increase over the remainder of the week, given that OPEC+ will be holding their regular monthly meeting on 4 November. Iran nuclear talks are set to resume this month and the group would not want to increase output if there is the potential for higher Iranian flows. (ING)

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Dec21    438.50   /             440.50

Jan22     437.25   /             439.25

Feb22    435.75   /             437.75

Mar22   433.25   /             435.25

Apr22    430.25   /             432.25

May22  427.00   /             429.00

Q1-22    435.25   /             437.25

Q2-22    426.75   /             428.75

Q3-22    415.75   /             417.75

Q4-22    403.25   /             406.25

CAL22    418.50   /             424.50

CAL23    379.00   /              387.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Dec21    454.50   /             456.50

Jan22     453.00   /              455.00

Feb22    451.50   /             453.50

Mar22   449.25   /             451.25

Apr22    446.75   /             448.75

May22  444.25   /             446.25

Q1-22    451.25   /             453.25

Q2-22    444.25   /             446.25

Q3-22    436.50   /             438.50

Q4-22    427.75   /             430.75

CAL22    438.00   /             444.00

CAL23    402.50   /             410.50

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Dec21    563.50   /              568.50

Jan22     560.25   /              565.25

Feb22    556.25   /              561.25

Mar22   552.25   /              557.25

Apr22    548.50   /              553.50

May22  544.75   /              549.75

Q1-22    556.25   /              561.25

Q2-22    544.75   /              549.75

Q3-22    533.00   /              539.00

Q4-22    520.75   /              528.75

CAL22    537.75   /              545.75

CAL23    483.00   /              499.00

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Dec21    589.75   /              594.75

Jan22     585.00   /              590.00

Feb22    580.50   /              585.50

Mar22   576.50   /              581.50

Apr22    572.50   /              577.50

May22  568.50   /              573.50

Q1-22    580.50   /              585.50

Q2-22    568.50   /              573.50

Q3-22    556.00   /              562.00

Q4-22    543.50   /              551.50

CAL22    561.00   /              569.00

CAL23    505.50   /              521.50

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Dec21    93.51     /              93.65

Jan22     92.52     /              92.72

Feb22    91.66     /              91.86

Mar22   90.83     /              91.03

Apr22    90.05     /              90.25

May22  89.33     /              89.53

Q1-22    91.60     /              91.90

Q2-22    89.28     /              89.58

Q3-22    87.55     /              87.85

Q4-22    86.32     /              86.62

CAL22    88.65     /              89.05

CAL23    83.35     /              83.75

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Dec21    707.01   /              711.01

Jan22     700.19   /              704.19

Feb22    693.14   /              697.14

Mar22   685.49   /              689.49

Apr22    678.34   /              682.34

May22  672.33   /              676.33

Q1-22    692.95   /              696.95

Q2-22    673.90   /              677.90

Q3-22    663.29   /              667.29

Q4-22    654.61   /              658.61

CAL22    671.18   /              675.18

CAL23    634.40   /              638.40

 

 

 

 

 

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FIS Oil Desk

 

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