Morning Oil Report 2/12/20

Brent crude oil futures were down by 41 cents, or 0.9%, at $47.01 a barrel by 0358 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate crude was down by 46 cents, or 1%, at $44.09.

 

The oil markets have been left in limbo as the OPEC meetings have been rescheduled until Thursday as major leaders were still at loggerheads over the way in which the output should be managed into the new year. The fragility of the situation at hand has led many oil market participants to take a step back, with large Sell offs on Friday afternoon of last week, and noticeably less activity throughout the day in the lead up to the festive period and year end.

 

Goldman Sachs released an updated view of the oil prices yesterday in a report from Reuters, in which the bank said that is possible we could see the dizzy heights of $65 per barrel at some point in 2021, even though the supply-side fundamentals are not certain as of yet, with a lot resting on the OPEC+ nations to limit supply of oil. (Reuters)

 

India’s Oil minister has hinted that he would like to see more buying options when looking to procure oil supplies, with Venezuela and Iran potential suppliers as Biden takes office in January. (Reuters)

 

Russia produced the equivalent of 10 million barrels per day in November according to the Russian energy minister, daily output was steady but total output fell slightly. (S&P Global Platts)

 

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 288.13

* Rott 3.5%: 260.25

* Sing 0.5%: 365.64

* Rott 0.5%: 340.00

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Oil-Hungry Asia Lures Armada of Tankers Carrying U.S. Crude
* While OPEC+ Fights, Mexico Wins Over $2 Billion With Oil Hedge
* API Reports U.S. Crude Stockpiles Rose 4.15M Bbl Last Week
* More Shale Deals Needed for U.S. Output to Recover: Occidental
* Oil Producers Ramping Up Hedging After Forward Prices Rally
* Brazil October Oil Output -3% y/y, to 2.874m Barrels/Day: ANP
* Transatlantic Clean Tanker Rates Slump; Benchmark VLCCs Gain

OTHER NEWS:
* The Era of Peak Oil Is Suddenly Upon Us
* Big Oil Writedowns Hit a Record $70 Billion as Virus Forces Cuts
* Oil Trader Trafigura Denies Brazil Prosecutor Bribery Claims
* Exxon Suspends Employee Bonuses After Oil-Market Collapse
* Conoco Warns of 500 Houston Job Cuts as Concho Deal Nears
* China’s Scorching Commodities Rally Forges a Fresh Set of Highs
* Rosneft Plans to Buy Payakha Field From Neftegazholding: RBC

OIL PRODUCT WRAPS:
* U.S.: Colonial Tariffs, Buckeye Halts Service
* EUROPE: Primorsk Loadings Up; Total Halts Donges
* ASIA: Dirty Fuel Demand; Kuwait Sells Jet Fuel

ECONOMIC DATA: (Times are London.)
* Genscape weekly ARA crude inventory report
* Russian monthly oil production data for November published by the energy ministry
* 3:30pm: EIA weekly U.S. oil inventory report

ANALYST VIEWS:
* Fitch Solutions Boosts 2021 Brent Oil Est. on Vaccine Rollout
* Oil Market Underestimating Bearish Risks of OPEC+ Delays: FGE
* OIL MKT RESEARCH: BNP and WoodMac See 3-Month OPEC+ Extension

(Data/News FIS and Bloomberg)

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Jan21     279.75   /             281.75

Feb21    279.00   /              281.00

Mar21   278.50   /             280.50

Apr21    278.00   /             280.00

May21  277.00   /             279.00

Jun21    276.00   /             278.00

Q1-21    279.25   /             281.25

Q2-21    277.00   /             279.00

Q3-21    273.50   /             275.50

Q4-21    269.25   /             272.25

CAL21    270.00   /             276.00

 

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     263.25   /             265.25

Feb21    263.25   /             265.25

Mar21   262.75   /             264.75

Apr21    261.50   /             263.50

May21  260.25   /             262.25

Jun21    258.50   /             260.50

Q1-21    263.25   /             265.25

Q2-21    260.00   /             262.00

Q3-21    254.75   /             256.75

Q4-21    248.50   /             251.50

CAL21    253.25   /             259.25

 

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Jan21     354.00   /              359.00

Feb21    355.25   /              360.25

Mar21   356.50   /              361.50

Apr21    357.50   /              362.50

May21  358.50   /              363.50

Jun21    359.50   /              364.50

Q1-21    355.25   /              360.25

Q2-21    358.50   /              363.50

Q3-21    360.75   /              366.75

Q4-21    362.25   /              368.25

CAL21    359.00   /              365.00

 

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     332.25   /              337.25

Feb21    333.25   /              338.25

Mar21   334.25   /              339.25

Apr21    335.25   /              340.25

May21  336.00   /              341.00

Jun21    336.75   /              341.75

Q1-21    333.25   /              338.25

Q2-21    336.00   /              341.00

Q3-21    337.75   /              343.75

Q4-21    339.50   /              345.50

CAL21    336.50   /              342.50

 

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Jan21     52.01     /              52.15

Feb21    52.27     /              52.47

Mar21   52.58     /              52.78

Apr21    52.90     /              53.10

May21  53.18     /              53.38

Jun21    53.44     /              53.64

Q1-21    52.25     /              52.55

Q2-21    53.12     /              53.42

Q3-21    53.97     /              54.27

Q4-21    54.56     /              54.86

CAL21    53.42     /              53.82

 

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC                               

Jan21     389.75   /              391.75

Feb21    392.75   /              394.75

Mar21   395.39   /              397.39

Apr21    397.73   /              399.73

May21  399.71   /              401.71

Jun21    402.08   /              404.08

Q1-21    392.65   /              394.65

Q2-21    399.84   /              401.84

Q3-21    406.30   /              408.30

Q4-21    412.21   /              414.21

CAL21    402.74   /              404.74

 

 

Rott Hi5               Sing Hi5

Jan21     70           76

Feb21    71           78

Mar21   73           79

Apr21    75           81

May21  77           83

Jun21    80           85

Q1-21    72           78

Q2-21    77           83

Q3-21    85           89

Q4-21    93           95

CAL21    83           89

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