Morning Oil Report 20/10/20

Brent crude futures dropped 32 cents, or 0.8%, to $42.30 a barrel by 0418 GMT, after falling 31 cents on Monday. WTI  futures fell 26 cents, or 0.6%, to $40.57 a barrel, after losing 5 cents on Monday. Despite rises in early morning trading, Brent entered the morning European window still in negative territory.

 

Oil steadied through Monday as hopes of a vaccine were nearing which would potentially ease some lockdowns, trickling down into increased demand for fuels and oil with also a US stimulus package holding oil up over the day, albeit only slightly. Also from the US, Organizers for the final Trump V Biden debate will feature a mute button to allow candidates to speak, Thursday will be the last opportunity for the candidates to win crucial votes for office, with an average of polls giving Biden a slender lead.

 

Four straight days of losses for crude show the gloominess of the oil market as it look like increasing supply from Libya, faltering demand from China and increasing lockdowns and virus cases are depressing the oil market. COVID-19 cases stand at 40 million amidst a growing second wave. (Reuters)

 

Continuing with the American theme, ConocoPhillips has agreed a deal worth $9.7 billion to buy Shale oil producer Concho Resources to consolidate its supply chain as fuel and demand continues to fall. Concho Produces 319,000 bpd, which is the fifth largest producer by volume in the Permian Basin. (Reuters)

 

Saudi Crude exports rose for a second consecutive month in August from a record low in June figures from JODI. August figures posted 5.97 million bpd, up from 5.73 million bpd in July. Total output rose by 500,000 bpd to 8.98 million barrels per day in August. (S&P Global Platts)

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 248.06

* Rott 3.5%: 233.35

* Sing 0.5%: 322.71

* Rott 0.5%: 301.35

 

MARKETS NEWS:
* Saudi Arabia Vows OPEC+ Will ‘Nip Negative Trends in the Bud’

* Oil, Gasoil off bringing the fuels off a touch from yesterday
* OPEC+ Agrees to Continue Output-Cuts Deal in Full, Novak Says
* OPEC+ Panel Didn’t Discuss Changes to Tapering Plan: Delegates

* Early HSFO interest in the market
* Low-Sulfur Fuel Oil Has Become a Bright Spot for Asian Refiners
* U.S. Gasoline Demand Snaps Four Weeks of Gains: Descartes
* U.S. Gasoline Imports From Europe Rebound; Jet Cargo: Customs
* Benchmark VLCCs Drop; Baltic-Europe Dirty Tankers Extend Gains

OTHER NEWS:
* Pioneer Said to Be in Talks to Buy Rival Shale Driller Parsley
* Alberta Exempts Oil Cos. From Property Taxes for New Wells
* 16 Oil, LNG Ships Wait to Transit Sabine Pass Amid Restrictions

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:
* ASIA: China Gasoline Stockpiles Shrink; Clean Flows

ECONOMIC EVENTS: (Times are London.)
* 9:30pm: API weekly oil inventory report
* Russia 10-day Urals loading program for November
* Nigeria loading programs for December crude exports released over next few days
* Iraq Petroleum conference, held virtually, 1st day of 2
* BNEF Summit in London, final day
* Citi Global Resources Virtual Conference, lasts through Oct. 21

 

(New/data, Blooomberg and FIS)

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Nov20   258.25   /             260.25

Dec20    256.25   /              258.25

Jan21     255.50   /             257.50

Feb21    255.50   /             257.50

Mar21   255.75   /             257.75

Apr21    256.25   /             258.25

Q1-21    255.50   /             257.50

Q2-21    256.75   /             258.75

Q3-21    258.25   /             260.25

Q4-21    259.25   /             262.25

CAL21    255.00   /             261.00

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Nov20   243.25   /             245.25

Dec20    240.25   /             242.25

Jan21     239.25   /             241.25

Feb21    239.75   /             241.75

Mar21   240.25   /             242.25

Apr21    240.75   /             242.75

Q1-21    239.75   /             241.75

Q2-21    241.25   /             243.25

Q3-21    242.25   /             244.25

Q4-21    242.00   /             245.00

CAL21    239.00   /             245.00

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Nov20   319.75   /              324.75

Dec20    318.75   /              323.75

Jan21     317.75   /              322.75

Feb21    317.50   /              322.50

Mar21   317.50   /              322.50

Apr21    317.75   /              322.75

Q1-21    317.50   /              322.50

Q2-21    318.50   /              323.50

Q3-21    321.50   /              327.50

Q4-21    325.25   /              331.25

CAL21    320.50   /              326.50

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Nov20   298.75   /              303.75

Dec20    297.75   /              302.75

Jan21     297.25   /              302.25

Feb21    297.25   /              302.25

Mar21   298.00   /              303.00

Apr21    299.00   /              304.00

Q1-21    297.50   /              302.50

Q2-21    300.00   /              305.00

Q3-21    303.00   /              309.00

Q4-21    306.50   /              312.50

CAL21    301.50   /              307.50

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Nov20   45.12     /              45.26

Dec20    45.52     /              45.72

Jan21     45.97     /              46.17

Feb21    46.40     /              46.60

Mar21   46.83     /              47.03

Apr21    47.32     /              47.52

Q1-21    46.35     /              46.65

Q2-21    47.73     /              48.03

Q3-21    49.01     /              49.31

Q4-21    49.85     /              50.15

CAL21    48.19     /              48.59

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC                                

Nov20   338.17   /              340.17

Dec20    341.76   /              343.76

Jan21     346.31   /              348.31

Feb21    350.68   /              352.68

Mar21   353.98   /              355.98

Apr21    357.58   /              359.58

Q1-21    350.30   /              352.30

Q2-21    360.04   /              362.04

Q3-21    370.79   /              372.79

Q4-21    379.68   /              381.68

CAL21    365.21   /              367.21

 

Rott Hi5 Sing Hi5

Nov20   57           63

Dec20    59           64

Jan21     59           64

Feb21    59           63

Mar21   59           63

Apr21    60           63

Q1-21    59           63

Q2-21    60           63

Q3-21    63           65

Q4-21    66           67

CAL21    62           65

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