Morning Oil Report 25/10/21

At 10:28 am Singapore time (0228 GMT), the ICE December Brent futures contract was up 64 cents/b (0.75%) from the previous close at $86.17/b, while the NYMEX December light sweet crude contract was 84 cents/b (1%) higher at $84.60/b.

 

Oil prices climbed on Monday, extending pre-weekend gains to hit multi-year highs as global supply remained tight amid solid fuel demand in the United States and elsewhere in the world as economies pick up from coronavirus pandemic-induced slumps.

 

Market participants are now gearing up for the next OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Nov. 4, where the alliance is expected to review production decisions for December. The supply tightness is being further exacerbated by the inability of some OPEC+ countries to raise production quickly to match monthly increments in quotas. “Even with higher quotas under their supply agreement, OPEC is struggling to raise output,” analysts ANZ research analysts said in a note Oct. 25, adding that September production volumes were reportedly 15% lower than planned. (S&P Global Platts)

 

risks related to demand recovery abound, with concerns that COVID-19 flare-ups could spark renewed lockdown measures that dampen recovery prospects, such as Russia’s announcement of a week-long lockdown from Oct. 30 to Nov. 7. “The focus in the region may now fall on the resurgence of COVID-19 infections in 11 provinces in China,” analysts said. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Sentiment in the Asian marine fuel 0.5% and high sulfur fuel oil markets stood in contrast, amid firmer demand for very low sulfur fuel oil from North Asia and tightening supply in China. This is in contrast to dwindling power demand in the Middle East and South Asia for HSFO.

 

 

*Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC*                                            

Nov21   459.00   /             461.00

Dec21    456.75   /             458.75

Jan22     455.00   /             457.00

Feb22    453.00   /             455.00

Mar22   449.75   /             451.75

Apr22    446.25   /             448.25

Q1-22    452.75   /             454.75

Q2-22    442.75   /             444.75

Q3-22    431.25   /             433.25

Q4-22    418.25   /             421.25

CAL22    434.50   /             440.50

CAL23    394.00   /              402.00

 

*Singapore 380 INDIC*                                

Nov21   471.25   /             473.25

Dec21    471.50   /              473.50

Jan22     470.75   /             472.75

Feb22    468.50   /             470.50

Mar22   466.25   /             468.25

Apr22    463.75   /             465.75

Q1-22    468.50   /             470.50

Q2-22    461.00   /             463.00

Q3-22    452.00   /             454.00

Q4-22    441.25   /             444.25

CAL22    453.75   /             459.75

CAL23    417.25   /             425.25

 

*Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                           

Nov21   583.00   /              588.00

Dec21    577.75   /              582.75

Jan22     573.00   /              578.00

Feb22    568.50   /              573.50

Mar22   564.25   /              569.25

Apr22    560.00   /              565.00

Q1-22    568.50   /              573.50

Q2-22    555.75   /              560.75

Q3-22    542.75   /              548.75

Q4-22    529.75   /              537.75

CAL22    548.25   /              556.25

CAL23    503.00   /              519.00

 

*Sing VLSFO 0.5% INDIC*                                            

Nov21   607.75   /              612.75

Dec21    602.75   /              607.75

Jan22     597.75   /              602.75

Feb22    593.00   /              598.00

Mar22   588.50   /              593.50

Apr22    584.25   /              589.25

Q1-22    593.25   /              598.25

Q2-22    580.00   /              585.00

Q3-22    567.25   /              573.25

Q4-22    554.50   /              562.50

CAL22    572.75   /              580.75

CAL23    525.25   /              541.25

 

*Sing 10ppm GO INDIC*                                              

Nov21   96.45     /              96.59

Dec21    95.38     /              95.58

Jan22     94.49     /              94.69

Feb22    93.68     /              93.88

Mar22   92.88     /              93.08

Apr22    92.08     /              92.28

Q1-22    93.65     /              93.95

Q2-22    91.27     /              91.57

Q3-22    89.30     /              89.60

Q4-22    87.86     /              88.16

CAL22    89.26     /              89.66

CAL23    90.26     /              90.66

 

*ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC*                                          

Nov21   728.46   /              732.46

Dec21    721.83   /              725.83

Jan22     715.20   /              719.20

Feb22    708.44   /              712.44

Mar22   701.48   /              705.48

Apr22    694.68   /              698.68

Q1-22    708.35   /              712.35

Q2-22    690.12   /              694.12

Q3-22    677.83   /              681.83

Q4-22    665.14   /              669.14

CAL22    683.09   /              687.09

CAL23    641.00   /              645.00

 

 

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