Morning Oil Report 10/12/20

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 25 cents, or 0.6%, to $45.77 a barrel at 0500 GMT, while Brent crude futures climbed 22 cents, or 0.5%, to $49.08 a barrel but eased a touch as liquidity came into the market up to 0730GMT, from then on, brent pushed to highs of $49.33 at 0935GMT. Prices were little changed overnight.

 

EIA week ending 12/4

Crude oil: +15.2 mb

Gasoline: +4.2 mb

Distillates: +5.2 mb

Refiner utilz: 79.9%

Impld mogas demand: 7.6 Mbpd

 

Canada becomes the next country to officially approve the COVID-19 vaccine with the roll-out due to commence within the next week, and as such oil seems to have been supported by the increasing number of countries that are supporting the roll-out of said vaccine. Yet analysts seemed surprised at the resilience of the oil market after the news of a 15 million barrel build according to the EIA data yesterday, with a bounce back to $49 per barrel mark less than an hour and a half after the 90 cents drop.

 

On Tuesday, the EIA reduced its demand forecast for 2021 oil demand by 110,000 barrels per day as a result of the pandemic, revising the figures to 5.78 million barrels per day. (Reuters)

 

INDEX: (MTD Estimates)

* Sing 380: 289.63

* Rott 3.5%: 267.64

* Sing 0.5%: 367.68

* Rott 0.5%: 349.75

 

MARKETS NEWS:

  • China’s Early Start to Oil Buying Keeping Physical Market Robust
  • U.S. Gasoline Stocks Rise Most Since Dog Days of Market Crash
  • Heavy Canadian Crude Rebounds Amid Surge in Exports to U.S.
  • Trump Charts Sale of Offshore Oil Rights From California to Gulf
  • Egypt Buys ‘Huge’ Oil Hedge to Lock In Gains from Price Rout
  • Trafigura Posts Record Trading Profit on Virus Volatility
  • Kazakhstan’s Oil Output Totals 78.5m Tons in Jan.-Nov.
  • Mideast-Japan Clean Tankers Reach 6-Month High; Benchmark Gains
  • UAE Taps Occidental to Boost Oil Capacity as OPEC Cuts Rankle

 

OTHER NEWS:

  • D.E. Shaw Is Said to Push Exxon Mobil to Cut Spending, Costs
  • Family of Ex-Trafigura CEO Dauphin No Longer Shareholders
  • China’s Old-Economy Commodities Rally With Shortages to Persist

 

OIL PRODUCT NEWS:

  • U.S.: Swell in Gasoline, Valero Delays Turnaround
  • EUROPE: Italy’s ISAB North Halts Unit; Donges Plans
  • ASIA: Ocean Tankers Sells Assets; Naphtha Spread

 

ECONOMIC DATA/EVENTS:

  • Singapore onshore oil-product stockpile weekly data
  • Russian weekly refinery outage data from ministry
  • Insights Global weekly report on European product inventories in ARA region
  • See OIL WEEKLY AGENDA for this week’s events

 

ANALYST VIEWS/COLUMNS:

  • OPEC+ ‘Underdelivered’ With Production Agreement, StanChart Say
  • $11B of Australian Gas Projects to Get Go-Ahead in 2021: WoodMac

 

Singapore 380 INDIC                                     

Jan21     287.00   /             289.00

Feb21    287.00   /              289.00

Mar21   286.75   /             288.75

Apr21    285.50   /             287.50

May21  284.00   /             286.00

Jun21    282.50   /             284.50

Q1-21    286.75   /             288.75

Q2-21    284.00   /             286.00

Q3-21    279.00   /             281.00

Q4-21    273.25   /             276.25

CAL21    278.50   /             284.50

 

 

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     270.25   /             272.25

Feb21    270.25   /             272.25

Mar21   269.75   /             271.75

Apr21    267.75   /             269.75

May21  266.00   /             268.00

Jun21    264.00   /             266.00

Q1-21    270.00   /             272.00

Q2-21    266.00   /             268.00

Q3-21    259.50   /             261.50

Q4-21    252.00   /             255.00

CAL21    259.75   /             265.75

 

 

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                     

Jan21     368.00   /              373.00

Feb21    368.75   /              373.75

Mar21   369.50   /              374.50

Apr21    370.00   /              375.00

May21  370.50   /              375.50

Jun21    371.00   /              376.00

Q1-21    368.75   /              373.75

Q2-21    370.50   /              375.50

Q3-21    371.50   /              377.50

Q4-21    372.25   /              378.25

CAL21    370.50   /              376.50

 

 

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC                                 

Jan21     349.25   /              354.25

Feb21    350.00   /              355.00

Mar21   350.50   /              355.50

Apr21    351.00   /              356.00

May21  351.25   /              356.25

Jun21    351.50   /              356.50

Q1-21    350.00   /              355.00

Q2-21    351.25   /              356.25

Q3-21    351.50   /              357.50

Q4-21    352.00   /              358.00

CAL21    351.00   /              357.00

 

 

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC                                   

Jan21     54.19     /              54.33

Feb21    54.31     /              54.51

Mar21   54.50     /              54.70

Apr21    54.69     /              54.89

May21  54.86     /              55.06

Jun21    55.02     /              55.22

Q1-21    54.25     /              54.55

Q2-21    54.81     /              55.11

Q3-21    55.34     /              55.64

Q4-21    55.64     /              55.94

CAL21    54.97     /              55.37

 

 

ICE Gasoil 10ppm INDIC                               

Jan21     405.73   /              407.73

Feb21    407.98   /              409.98

Mar21   409.61   /              411.61

Apr21    410.89   /              412.89

May21  411.92   /              413.92

Jun21    413.44   /              415.44

Q1-21    407.75   /              409.75

Q2-21    412.08   /              414.08

Q3-21    416.70   /              418.70

Q4-21    420.03   /              422.03

CAL21    414.14   /              416.14

 

 

Rott Hi5               Sing Hi5

Jan21     81           83

Feb21    81           83

Mar21   82           84

Apr21    85           86

May21  87           88

Jun21    89           90

Q1-21    81           83

Q2-21    87           88

Q3-21    94           94

Q4-21    101         100

CAL21    91           92

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