At 10:12 am Singapore time (0212 GMT), the ICE January Brent futures contract was down 15 cents/b (0.19%) from the previous close at $79.55/b, while the NYMEX January light sweet crude contract fell 31 cents/b (0.40%) to $76.44/b.

 

The decline on Nov. 23 comes after oil prices bounced off 7-week lows in the overnight session, after OPEC delegates said the wider OPEC+ producer group was reassessing its monthly output hikes in response to any state oil reserve release. “There are no concerns at this time about the US and China releasing crude from strategic reserves because if the market were to be oversupplied, OPEC+ has the option of not increasing or reducing production,” one delegate told S&P Global Platts, asking not to be named to discuss private deliberations. (S&P Global Platts)

 

His comments were echoed by International Energy Forum Secretary General Joe McMonigle, who is in frequent contact with OPEC+ ministers. The comments will bring into focus the tussle between OPEC+ and the Biden-led group of countries over the direction of oil prices. Some analysts have said that any state oil reserve release would be sizeable, with estimates in the range of 35 million to 120 million barrels. Nonetheless, analysts at Goldman Sachs said Nov. 22 that the slide in global oil prices to below $80/b over the last month has “overshot” market fundamentals, with concerns over the return of lockdowns over COVID-19 cases in Europe and a slowdown in China overshadowing an ongoing supply deficit. (S&P Global Platts)

 

Nonetheless, gains remained capped by concerns over rising COVID-19 cases in Europe and a potential release of Japanese and Indian oil reserves. Essentially, the major worries for bullish traders at this time are oversupply and weak demand.

 

 

OIL MARKET ROUND-UP: (Bloomberg)

* OPEC+ Warns of Response as Biden Poised for Oil Reserve Release
* Oil Inventory at Key Cushing Storage Hub Likely Rose Last Week
* PetroVietnam Hits 2021 Domestic Crude Oil Output of 7.99M Tons
* Nine House Democrats Urge Biden to Block U.S. Oil Exports: CNN
* U.S. Gasoline Barges Travel to Western Canada After Flood Damage
* Heating Fuel Premium Slumps on Outlook for Mild Winter: Chart

Rotterdam 3.5% INDIC

Dec21    408.50   /             410.50

Jan22     408.25   /             410.25

Feb22    407.50   /             409.50

Mar22   405.75   /             407.75

Apr22    404.00   /             406.00

May22  402.00   /             404.00

Q1-22    407.25   /             409.25

Q2-22    402.00   /             404.00

Q3-22    394.00   /             396.00

Q4-22    382.50   /             385.50

CAL22    396.00   /             399.00

CAL23    367.50   /              375.50

Singapore 380 INDIC

Dec21    431.75   /             433.75

Jan22     430.00   /              432.00

Feb22    428.25   /             430.25

Mar22   426.50   /             428.50

Apr22    424.75   /             426.75

May22  423.00   /             425.00

Q1-22    428.25   /             430.25

Q2-22    423.00   /             425.00

Q3-22    416.25   /             418.25

Q4-22    407.75   /             410.75

CAL22    418.50   /             421.50

CAL23    393.25   /             401.25

Rott VLSFO 0.5% INDIC

Dec21    533.75   /              538.75

Jan22     529.25   /              534.25

Feb22    525.75   /              530.75

Mar22   522.25   /              527.25

Apr22    519.00   /              524.00

May22  516.00   /              521.00

Q1-22    525.75   /              530.75

Q2-22    516.00   /              521.00

Q3-22    506.50   /              512.50

Q4-22    498.00   /              504.00

CAL22    511.25   /              517.25

CAL23    480.25   /              489.25

Singapore VLSFO 0.5% INDIC

Dec21    567.50   /              572.50

Jan22     556.75   /              561.75

Feb22    550.25   /              555.25

Mar22   545.75   /              550.75

Apr22    542.50   /              547.50

May22  539.50   /              544.50

Q1-22    550.75   /              555.75

Q2-22    539.50   /              544.50

Q3-22    530.50   /              536.50

Q4-22    522.50   /              528.50

CAL22    535.50   /              541.50

CAL23    507.75   /              516.75

Sing 10ppm GO INDIC

Dec21    87.69     /              87.83

Jan22     87.15     /              87.35

Feb22    86.66     /              86.86

Mar22   86.21     /              86.41

Apr22    85.76     /              85.96

May22  85.32     /              85.52

Q1-22    86.70     /              86.90

Q2-22    85.32     /              85.52

Q3-22    84.16     /              84.36

Q4-22    83.34     /              83.54

CAL22    84.77     /              85.17

CAL23    81.52     /              81.92

Ice Gasoil Swap

Dec21    665.13   /              667.13

Jan22     662.59   /              664.59

Feb22    659.85   /              661.85

Mar22   655.18   /              658.18

Apr22    649.98   /              652.98

May22  645.57   /              648.57

Q1-22    658.85   /              661.85

Q2-22    645.98   /              648.98

Q3-22    639.68   /              642.68

Q4-22    634.71   /              637.71

CAL22    644.81   /              647.81

CAL23    617.91   /              621.91

 
 
 
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