Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 22/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • China 1-Year LPR down 10 bps to 3.35%, 5-year LPR down 10 bps at 3.85%. • WTI crude oil futures settled at $82.63/barrel, refreshed the lowest since mid-June.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $104.35, -0.95, MTD $108.61. China 45 ports iron ore inventories at 151.31 million …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 19/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • US jobless claims during past week reached 243,000, est. 230,000, last 223,000.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $105.30, +0.35, MTD $108.91. China 45 ports iron ore inventories at 151.31 million tons, up 1.42 million tons on the week, up 25.90 million tons on the year. Daily …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 18/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • Vale announced unchanged on its production target in 2024 from 310 – 320 million tons. The H1 2024 produced 151 million tons, accounted for 47.19-48.7% of total production target. However, the annual production expected to reach the higher boundary of estimation because of seasonal high delivery in H2. …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 17/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • IMF predicted 3.2% and 3.3% growth on global economy in 2024 and 2025 respectively. IMF increased China economy growth from 4.6% to 5%. IMF decreased US economy growth from 2.7% to 2.6%. • Physical gold up 1.92% yesterday, refreshed historical high at $2468.7/oz.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 11/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish.   Macro: • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he believed inflation was receding, yet to prove that price gains were sustainably slowing to the central bank’s 2% growth rate. • China Regulative Body CSRC approved an increase in margin requirements for short selling. The biggest lending provider will …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 10/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • Both S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new closing highs on Tuesday, driven by the rise of Nvidia. Earlier, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell told lawmakers that more “good” economic data would strengthen the reason for interest rate cuts. The S&P 500 index rose 0.07% to close at 5576.98. The …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 09/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • China central bank PBOC announced to carry out a new tool: an afternoon window for reverse repo operations to help manage intra-day liquidity and ease market panic for potential funding tension.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $108.65, -1.85, MTD $111.21. Iron ore market entered watch and …