Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 07/08/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The Panama Canal Authority announced on August 5th that the maximum draft standard for ships passing through the canal will be raised to 49 feet from today. This standard has been raised again after being increased to 48 feet on July 11th, 2024. The Canal Authority explained that …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 06/08/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • Global equity market saw a “Black Monday” because of unwind on carry trades, which led to equity and some commodity drop. Nikkei index once dropped by 13%, created the biggest single day correction from 1987. However, traders bet on US emergent interest cut or market stimulus, which help …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 05/08/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish.   Macro: • US jobless rate up by 4.3% in July, refreshed three-year-high, strengthening the concerns on recession. US Labor Department published non-farm payrolls increased by 114,000 in July, est. 175,000. The expectation on interest cut increased after traders saw these data. • According to a Reuters survey, the …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 01/08/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The US Federal Reserve ended its two-day monetary policy meeting on July 31st and announced that the target range for the federal funds rate would remain unchanged between 5.25% and 5.5%. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated after the meeting that there is a possibility to discuss lowering policy …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 31/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish.   Macro: • The Eurozone GDP in Q2 after adjusted increased by 0.6% on the year and 0.3% on the month, both higher than market expectations. • Glencore copper production in H1 2024 was 462,600 tons, decreased by 5% on the year. Nickel production decreased by 5% at 44,200 …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 30/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The Bureau of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Vietnam has issued a notice officially launching anti-dumping investigations on hot rolls originating from China and India. From January to June 2024, the total amount of steel exported from China to Vietnam reached 6.37 million tons, a year-on-year …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 29/07/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • According to data from the China National Bureau of Statistics, from January to June, industrial enterprises above designated size in China achieved a total profit of 351.103 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, with a growth rate 0.1% faster than from January to May period. Among them, …