Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • Canada central bank indicated the resilience of inflation would enable the monetary department to hike interest rate in Q4. ECB indicated that the bank will see current rate enough in December. • China Manufacturing PMI fell under boom and bust line at 59.5. Iron Ore Key Indicators: …
Tag archives: CC
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 30/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • US September PCE index up 3.7% on the year, created the lowest since May 2021, est. 3.7%, last 3.9%. PCE up 0.3% m-o-m, est. 0.3%, last 0.1%. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $121.80, +2.80, MTD $118.50. PBF saw active demand in market after a significant decrease …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 27/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • US GDP accelerated to 4.9% in the third quarter, more than doubled the growth rate in last quarter and created the fastest growth rate in past two years, powered by spike in consumer spending. Economists generally expected that the growth rate to slow in Q4. …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 26/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • IMF Chief Kirstalina Georgieva indicated that the global economy growth slowed down to 3%. The growth rate would be dragged down by high interest rates. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $118.55, +3.00, MTD $118.19. PBF saw two trades based on December Index + $4.1 and $4.2 …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 25/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bullish. Macro: • China approved a plan to raise fiscal deficit ratio from 3% to 3.8%. The plan issued a 1 trillion yuan sovereign debt to support disaster relief and construction. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $118.55, +3.00, MTD $118.19. Ferrous market spiked as the over-expected 1-trillion …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 24/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • China sovereign wealth fund Central Huijin Investment Ltd. Said it bought exchange-traded funds in late Monday, which was the second time in the month. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $115.55, +0.30, MTD $118.17. The market was concerning the low steel margin would trigger some proactive production …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 23/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bearish. Macro: • The US Federal Reserve governor, Loretta Mester stated that the benchmark interest rate was approaching peak level, and decision-makers need to be “flexible” in their actions. Bank of America Global Research has postponed the Fed’s final rate hike forecast to December. • Pan Gongsheng, the governor …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 20/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • US 10-Year-Bond yield reached 4.996%, the highest since July 2007. • China NBS: From January to September, China produced 176.62 million tons of long steel, up 0.3% on the year. China produced 742.77 million tons of iron ore, up 6.1% on the year. China produced 36.83 million tons …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 19/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • US 10-Year-Bond yield reached 4.845%, the highest since July 2007. • IMF report estimated Asia-Pacific growth rate reached 4.6% in 2023. Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $118.35, -2.00, MTD $118.50. Seaborne iron ore saw stable trades during the week, most of which were fixed price trade. …
Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 18/10/23
Verdict: • Short-run Neutral. Macro: • World Steel Association(WSA) published steel consumption report in 2023-2024, indicating the demand for 2023 estimated to increased by 1.8% at 1.8145 billion tons. The growth rate for 2024 estimated to reach 1.9%. • China NBS: industrial utilisation rate at 75.6% in Q3, up 1.1% from Q2. Iron …