Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 28/09/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • China NBS: The industrial profit above designated scale in August reversed negative to positive number, up 17.2% on the year. Jan-Aug total down 11.7% on the year. The drop during Jan-Aug was majorly dragged by the ferrous metallurgical industry, which decreased by 57.1% on the year.   Iron …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 27/09/23

Verdict- Neutral. DCE Jan24 contract rebounded slightly during the day as the looming China holiday. The trading volume narrowed for two consecutive trading days. Hourly MACD created gold cross. Hourly slow stochastic KD created a gold cross in oversold area and rebounded fast. Hourly CCI entered bullish territory. The high was rejected by 851.0 -851.5 …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 27/09/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • The US New Home Sales Administration annualized 675,000 new houses sold, with an expected 700,000 houses, last 739,000 houses, the data had dropped to the lowest level since May.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $117.40, -1.40, MTD $121.06. The negative steel margin lowered the demand for …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 26/09/23

Verdict- Neutral to Bearish. DCE Jan24 contract corrected as expected, however the market technical was indicating an exhaustion. Hourly slow stochastic KD created a gold cross in oversold area. Hourly MACD narrowed in bearish territory. If price level holds up 835.0, iron ore potentially win some consolidation time instead of heading south immediately. First support …

Iron Ore Hits 2-week Low On Weak Demand, Possible Steel Output Curbs

BEIJING, Sept 25 (Reuters) – Iron ore futures fell on Monday, as traders were worried about weaker-than-expected steel consumption in the peak construction season and possible steel output curbs during winter in top consumer China, and as pre-holiday restocking came to an end. The most-traded January iron ore on China’s Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) DCIOcv1 ended daytime trading 2.03% …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 26/09/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bearish.   Macro: • ECB president Christian Lagarde indicated that the pre-historic high deposit rate could resist inflation to 2%, interest hike is still an option in rest of 2023. • Evergrande Real Estate failed to settle principal and interest payments with the bond code”20 Hengda 04”, which should be …

Iron Ore DCE January24 Daily Technical Review 25/09/23

Verdict- Neutral to Bearish. DCE Jan24 contract broke two important supports at 851.0 and 859.0 respectively. Hourly MACD widened in bearish area. Hourly slow stochastic KD created a dead cross. Hourly CCI entered bearish territory. In short-run, iron ore potentially test low in next few sessions. First support 823.5. First resistance 851.0.  

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 25/09/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral to Bearish.   Macro: • China and US will officially launch two new working groups on economic and financial issues, aiming to provide a regular policy communication forum for the two countries and will hold regular meetings. • US Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that the inflation was too high and …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 21/09/23

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • US Federal maintained interest rate from 5.25- 5.5% unchanged in the FOMC meeting in September, fell in the expectation of economists. • UK inflation rate refreshed an 18-month low, which decreased expectations on further hikes.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $124.65, +1.90, MTD $121.42. JMBF discount …